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Start Zay Flowers or Courtland Sutton? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:46 AM ET.

Start Zay Flowers over Courtland Sutton

Start

Zay Flowers

WR · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
10.5
fantasy pts
JAX D vs WR
38.0
4th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
65%
Through Week 8
Target share
30%
Through Week 8
Sit

Courtland Sutton

WR · DEN · at CAR

Market projects
8.8
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR
27.7
6th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
77%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Zay Flowers?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), Courtland Sutton 71 (8.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over Courtland Sutton.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Zay Flowers over Courtland Sutton in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Zay Flowers at 10.5 points and Courtland Sutton at 8.8, a gap of 1.7. No player market is posted for Courtland Sutton this week yet, so his 8.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (8.3, 8.9 and 9.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Zay Flowers at ADP 23 and Courtland Sutton at 60.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Courtland Sutton yet. His market-based projections were 8.3, 8.9 and 9.1 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 8.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

Player markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Zay Flowers, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 45 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (11, 10 and 11 market sources).

That puts Zay Flowers 1.7 points ahead of Courtland Sutton on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Courtland Sutton and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 27.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Zay Flowers and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 38.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 210 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

By points allowed to the position, Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Courtland Sutton is not on the injury report.

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Courtland Sutton played 77 percent of DEN snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Courtland Sutton, Week 5 against LAC: 50 of 62 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.

Courtland Sutton, Week 6 against SEA: 46 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 7 against ARI: 43 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 45 yards.

Courtland Sutton, Week 8 against KC: 4 targets and 4 catches for 53 yards.

Through Week 8, Zay Flowers played 65 percent of BAL snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 5 against ATL: 62 of 76 snaps, 1 carry for 13 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 7 against CIN: 57 of 67 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 137 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 8 against BUF: 5 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Courtland Sutton played 17 games for DEN and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 795 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Courtland Sutton for Zay Flowers?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Zay Flowers projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), Courtland Sutton 71 (8.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over Courtland Sutton.

  • Should I drop Zay Flowers for Courtland Sutton?

    No. Keep Zay Flowers: he projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.8 a game over 8 games), Courtland Sutton 71 (8.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Zay Flowers over Courtland Sutton.

Should I drop Courtland Sutton?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board