Start Dallas Goedert or Darren Waller? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Dallas Goedert over Darren Waller

Start

Dallas Goedert

TE · PHI · vs DAL

Market projects: 10.9; fantasy pts
DAL D vs TE: 12.8; 16th most to TEs (2026)
Upside: High; 85 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 65%; Through Week 6
Target share: 18%; Through Week 6

Sit

Darren Waller

TE · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 6.3; fantasy pts
TB D vs TE: 15.7; 10th most to TEs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 66 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 46%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Dallas Goedert for Darren Waller?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Darren Waller projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 11 games), Dallas Goedert 66 (6.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dallas Goedert over Darren Waller, 10.9 to 6.3 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Dallas Goedert over Darren Waller in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Dallas Goedert at 10.9 points and Darren Waller at 6.3, a gap of 4.7.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.9 fantasy points for Dallas Goedert, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dallas Goedert is 41 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 10 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Darren Waller, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Darren Waller is 23 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

That puts Dallas Goedert 4.7 points ahead of Darren Waller on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Dallas Goedert and PHI host DAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

DAL allowed 12.8 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 16th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 46 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against DAL.

Darren Waller and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 10th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 56 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Darren Waller has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dallas Goedert is not on the injury report.

Darren Waller is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Dallas Goedert played 65 percent of PHI snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Dallas Goedert, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 77 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Dallas Goedert, Week 2 against TEN: 19 of 76 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Dallas Goedert, Week 5 against JAX: 43 of 62 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 38 yards.

Dallas Goedert, Week 6 against CAR: 52 of 64 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 61 yards.

Through Week 6, Darren Waller played 46 percent of CAR snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Darren Waller, Week 2 against ATL: 29 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Darren Waller, Week 3 against CLE: 39 of 77 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 51 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 4 against DET: 40 of 75 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 36 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 6 against PHI: 36 of 79 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dallas Goedert played 15 games for PHI and scored 185.1 PPR points, 12.3 a game, finishing TE7.

He caught 60 of 82 targets for 591 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 357 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Darren Waller played 9 games for MIA and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 210 air yards.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Dallas Goedert for Darren Waller?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Darren Waller projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 11 games), Dallas Goedert 66 (6.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dallas Goedert over Darren Waller, 10.9 to 6.3 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Darren Waller for Dallas Goedert?
No. Keep Darren Waller: he projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.7 a game over 11 games), Dallas Goedert 66 (6.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Dallas Goedert over Darren Waller, 10.9 to 6.3 projected PPR points.