Start Dalton Kincaid or Kyle Pitts Sr.? Week 8

Updated Oct 29, 6:26 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 28, 5:43 PM ET: Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid

Pitts projects lower, 9.0 to 10.5, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 84 for Pitts, 158 for Kincaid.

Start

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE · ATL · at TB

Market projects: 9.0; fantasy pts
TB D vs TE: 16.2; 8th most to TEs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 84 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 55%; Through Week 7
Target share: 16%; Through Week 7

Sit

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · vs BAL · Questionable

Market projects: 10.5; fantasy pts
BAL D vs TE: 12.3; 13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside: High; 86 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 18%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 71 (7.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 8 game. Dalton Kincaid is listed questionable.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Kyle Pitts Sr. at 9.0 points and Dalton Kincaid at 10.5, a gap of 1.5. Kyle Pitts Sr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 84 against 158, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 47 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Kyle Pitts Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyle Pitts Sr. is 37 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (13, 10 and 13 market sources).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 1.5 points ahead of Kyle Pitts Sr. on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 12.3 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 39 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against BAL.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and ATL visit TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 16.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 62 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Kyle Pitts Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is listed as questionable with a chest injury.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid played 68 percent of BUF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 3 against LAC: 44 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Through Week 7, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 55 percent of ATL snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 7 against SF: 38 of 69 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games for ATL and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 528 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 49 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Dalton Kincaid?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 71 (7.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 8 game. Dalton Kincaid is listed questionable.
Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Kyle Pitts Sr.?
No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 71 (7.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid. Dalton Kincaid is listed questionable.