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Start Kyle Pitts Sr. or Dalton Kincaid? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 2:31 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid

Pitts projects lower, 9.4 to 11.1, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 84 for Pitts, 158 for Kincaid.

Start

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE · ATL · vs CIN

Market projects
9.4
fantasy pts
CIN D vs TE
15.7
11th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
55%
Through Week 8
Target share
18%
Through Week 8
Sit

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
11.1
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs TE
6.9
fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 8
Target share
18%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Kyle Pitts Sr. at 9.4 points and Dalton Kincaid at 11.1, a gap of 1.7. Kyle Pitts Sr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 84 against 158, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (12.0 and 10.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 12.0 and 10.2 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.4 fantasy points for Kyle Pitts Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyle Pitts Sr. is 41 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (7, 7 and 7 market sources).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 1.7 points ahead of Kyle Pitts Sr. on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 6.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 39 yards and no touchdowns a game against MIN.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and ATL host CIN on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

CIN allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 85 yards and no touchdowns a game against CIN.

By points allowed to the position, Kyle Pitts Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid played 68 percent of BUF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 55 percent of ATL snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 7 against SF: 38 of 69 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 8 against TB: 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games for ATL and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 528 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Kyle Pitts Sr.?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Dalton Kincaid.

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr.?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board