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Start Tucker Kraft or Dalton Kincaid? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 2:31 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

TE · GB · at NE

Market projects
11.3
fantasy pts
NE D vs TE
12.4
15th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
82%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8
Sit

TE · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
11.1
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs TE
6.9
fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
68%
Through Week 8
Target share
18%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Tucker Kraft for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Tucker Kraft 91 (11.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tucker Kraft over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Tucker Kraft over Dalton Kincaid in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Tucker Kraft at 11.3 points and Dalton Kincaid at 11.1, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (12.0 and 10.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tucker Kraft at ADP 104 and Dalton Kincaid at 158.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.3 fantasy points for Tucker Kraft, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tucker Kraft is 46 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (10, 8 and 6 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 12.0 and 10.2 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Tucker Kraft 0.2 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Tucker Kraft and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 12.4 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 54 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against NE.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 6.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 39 yards and no touchdowns a game against MIN.

By points allowed to the position, Tucker Kraft has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tucker Kraft is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Tucker Kraft played 82 percent of GB snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Tucker Kraft, Week 5 against CHI: 47 of 61 snaps, 1 carry for 2 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 64 yards.

Tucker Kraft, Week 6 against DAL: 58 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 37 yards.

Tucker Kraft, Week 7 against DET: 59 of 67 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tucker Kraft, Week 8 against CAR: 61 of 69 snaps, 6 targets and 6 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Dalton Kincaid played 68 percent of BUF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tucker Kraft played 8 games for GB and scored 117.2 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing TE24.

He caught 32 of 44 targets for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 145 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tucker Kraft for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Tucker Kraft 91 (11.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tucker Kraft over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Tucker Kraft?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 9 games), Tucker Kraft 91 (11.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Tucker Kraft over Dalton Kincaid.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board