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Start Tyler Warren or Dalton Kincaid? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:16 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

TE · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
11.0
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs TE
19.2
3rd most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at TE
Snap share
87%
Through Week 9
Target share
23%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
9.7
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Tyler Warren for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Tyler Warren 84 (12.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Warren over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Tyler Warren over Dalton Kincaid in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Tyler Warren at 11.0 points and Dalton Kincaid at 9.7, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyler Warren this week yet, so his 11.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.1 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 9.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.2 and 9.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tyler Warren at ADP 67 and Dalton Kincaid at 158.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tyler Warren yet. His market-based projections were 10.1 and 11.9 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 11.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 9.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Tyler Warren 1.3 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Tyler Warren and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 19.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 69 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against MIA.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Warren has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Warren is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Tyler Warren played 87 percent of IND snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 15 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Warren, Week 4 against WAS: 56 of 66 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards.

Tyler Warren, Week 5 against PIT: 67 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 9 targets and 7 catches for 83 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Warren, Week 8 against JAX: 44 of 61 snaps, 10 targets and 4 catches for 18 yards.

Tyler Warren, Week 9 against DAL: 53 of 64 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 17 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 47 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 9 against MIN: 3 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Warren played 17 games for IND and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets and 343 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Warren for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Tyler Warren 84 (12.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Warren over Dalton Kincaid. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for Tyler Warren?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), Tyler Warren 84 (12.0 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Tyler Warren over Dalton Kincaid.

Should I drop Dalton Kincaid?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board