Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for David Montgomery?

Not on these numbers alone. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games) and David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts David Montgomery over Ollie Gordon II. David Montgomery is listed questionable.

Start Ollie Gordon II or David Montgomery? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 21, 1:43 PM ET: Jawhar Jordan: Listed Out (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start David Montgomery over Ollie Gordon II

Start

David Montgomery

RB · HOU · vs NYG · Questionable

Market projects: 10.0; recent weeks avg
NYG D vs RB: 21.6; 15th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 56 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 46%; Through Week 5
Target share: 4%; Through Week 5

Sit

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB

Should I drop David Montgomery for Ollie Gordon II?

Not on these numbers alone. David Montgomery projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games) and Ollie Gordon II 110 (10.0 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts David Montgomery over Ollie Gordon II. David Montgomery is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start David Montgomery over Ollie Gordon II in Week 7.

Market-based projections have David Montgomery at 10.0 points and Ollie Gordon II at 9.7, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for David Montgomery this week yet, so his 10.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (10.2 and 9.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for David Montgomery yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.8 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 10.0, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 11 market sources).

That puts David Montgomery 0.4 points ahead of Ollie Gordon II on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

David Montgomery and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 21.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 108 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against NYG and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.

Injury status

David Montgomery is listed as questionable with a groin injury.

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, David Montgomery played 46 percent of HOU snaps, took 45 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 28 percent of the red zone chances.

David Montgomery, Week 2 against CIN: 42 of 80 snaps, 6 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 3 against IND: 34 of 54 snaps, 11 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 4 against DAL: 31 of 55 snaps, 10 carries for 24 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

David Montgomery, Week 5 against TEN: 9 of 66 snaps, 5 carries for 11 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, David Montgomery played 17 games for DET and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He ran 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop David Montgomery for Ollie Gordon II?
Not on these numbers alone. David Montgomery projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.5 a game over 10 games) and Ollie Gordon II 110 (10.0 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts David Montgomery over Ollie Gordon II. David Montgomery is listed questionable.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for David Montgomery?
Not on these numbers alone. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games) and David Montgomery 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts David Montgomery over Ollie Gordon II. David Montgomery is listed questionable.