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Start Noah Gray or Davis Allen? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 4:21 AM ET.

Start

TE · KC · at ATL

Market projects
3.3
fantasy pts
ATL D vs TE
13.9
16th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at TE
Snap share
58%
Through Week 9
Target share
7%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · LAR · at ARI

Market projects
2.9
recent weeks avg
ARI D vs TE
16.1
9th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
62 of 100 at TE
Snap share
50%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Noah Gray over Davis Allen in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Noah Gray at 3.3 points and Davis Allen at 2.9, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Davis Allen this week yet, so his 2.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (2.1 and 3.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.3 fantasy points for Noah Gray, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Noah Gray is 12 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (7, 7 and 7 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Davis Allen yet. His market-based projections were 2.1 and 3.8 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 2.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Noah Gray 0.4 points ahead of Davis Allen on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Noah Gray and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 16th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 55 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against ATL.

Davis Allen and LAR visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 16.1 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 56 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against ARI.

By points allowed to the position, Davis Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Noah Gray is not on the injury report.

Davis Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Noah Gray played 58 percent of KC snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 7 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Noah Gray, Week 6 against LAC: 39 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 7 against SEA: 28 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 44 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 8 against DEN: 37 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.

Noah Gray, Week 9 against NYJ: 41 of 66 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Through Week 9, Davis Allen played 50 percent of LAR snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 3 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Davis Allen, Week 6 against ARI: 18 of 58 snaps, 1 carry for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Davis Allen, Week 7 against LV: 50 of 72 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Davis Allen, Week 8 against LAC: 40 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Davis Allen, Week 9 against WAS: 42 of 75 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Noah Gray played 16 games for KC and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Davis Allen played 17 games for LAR and scored 62.8 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE44.

He caught 24 of 33 targets for 208 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board