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Start Noah Gray or Drew Sample? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 3:21 AM ET.

Start

TE · KC · at ATL

Market projects
3.3
fantasy pts
ATL D vs TE
13.9
16th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at TE
Snap share
58%
Through Week 9
Target share
7%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · CIN · vs PIT

Market projects
2.8
fantasy pts
PIT D vs TE
12.7
13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
44 of 100 at TE
Snap share
51%
Through Week 9
Target share
3%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Drew Sample for Noah Gray?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Noah Gray projects 30 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 8 games), Drew Sample 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Noah Gray over Drew Sample, 3.3 to 2.8 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Noah Gray over Drew Sample in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Noah Gray at 3.3 points and Drew Sample at 2.8, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.3 fantasy points for Noah Gray, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Noah Gray is 12 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (7, 7 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 2.8 fantasy points for Drew Sample, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Drew Sample is 0.1 touchdowns (11 market sources).

That puts Noah Gray 0.5 points ahead of Drew Sample on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Noah Gray and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 16th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 55 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against ATL.

Drew Sample and CIN host PIT on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

PIT allowed 12.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 57 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PIT.

By points allowed to the position, Noah Gray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Noah Gray is not on the injury report.

Drew Sample is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Noah Gray played 58 percent of KC snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 7 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Noah Gray, Week 6 against LAC: 39 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 7 against SEA: 28 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 44 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 8 against DEN: 37 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.

Noah Gray, Week 9 against NYJ: 41 of 66 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Through Week 9, Drew Sample played 51 percent of CIN snaps, drew 3 percent of the targets, earned 0 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Drew Sample, Week 5 against MIA: 34 of 65 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Drew Sample, Week 7 against BAL: 29 of 53 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards, 1 touchdown.

Drew Sample, Week 8 against TEN: 29 of 74 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Drew Sample, Week 9 against ATL: 38 of 57 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Noah Gray played 16 games for KC and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Drew Sample played 17 games for CIN and scored 31.9 PPR points, 1.9 a game, finishing TE64.

He caught 15 of 20 targets for 106 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and -3 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Drew Sample for Noah Gray?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Noah Gray projects 30 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 8 games), Drew Sample 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Noah Gray over Drew Sample, 3.3 to 2.8 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Noah Gray for Drew Sample?

    No. Keep Noah Gray: he projects 30 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.8 a game over 8 games), Drew Sample 22 (2.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Noah Gray over Drew Sample, 3.3 to 2.8 projected PPR points.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board