Start Noah Gray or Dawson Knox? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Noah Gray over Dawson Knox in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Noah Gray at 3.3 points and Dawson Knox at 3.2, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Dawson Knox this week yet, so his 3.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.3 and 3.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 3.3 fantasy points for Noah Gray, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Noah Gray is 12 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (7, 7 and 7 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dawson Knox yet. His market-based projections were 3.3 and 3.1 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Noah Gray 0.1 points ahead of Dawson Knox on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Noah Gray and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 16th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 55 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against ATL.

Dawson Knox and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Dawson Knox has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Noah Gray is not on the injury report.

Dawson Knox is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Noah Gray played 58 percent of KC snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 7 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Noah Gray, Week 6 against LAC: 39 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 7 against SEA: 28 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 44 yards.

Noah Gray, Week 8 against DEN: 37 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.

Noah Gray, Week 9 against NYJ: 41 of 66 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Through Week 9, Dawson Knox played 69 percent of BUF snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 3 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Dawson Knox, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Dawson Knox, Week 6 against LV: 47 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Dawson Knox, Week 8 against BAL: 57 of 82 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Dawson Knox, Week 9 against MIN: 5 targets and 4 catches for 37 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Noah Gray played 16 games for KC and scored 38.8 PPR points, 2.4 a game, finishing TE59.

He caught 21 of 37 targets for 178 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 52 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dawson Knox played 17 games for BUF and scored 103.7 PPR points, 6.1 a game, finishing TE28.

He caught 36 of 49 targets for 417 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 234 air yards.

He was on the field for 61 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Brevyn Spann-Ford over Noah Gray.
• Start Noah Gray over Davis Allen.
• Start Noah Gray over Drew Sample.
• Start Dawson Knox over Drew Sample.