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Start DeMario Douglas or Josh Downs? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:46 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

Start

WR · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
9.8
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR
25.4
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
45 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
20%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · NE · at DET

Market projects
9.2
recent weeks avg
DET D vs WR
37.7
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
93 of 100 at WR
Snap share
57%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9

Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Josh Downs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), DeMario Douglas 50 (7.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over DeMario Douglas.

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DeMario Douglas rookie cardsJosh Downs rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Josh Downs over DeMario Douglas in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Josh Downs at 9.8 points and DeMario Douglas at 9.2, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Josh Downs this week yet, so his 9.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (10.9, 7.8 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for DeMario Douglas this week yet, so his 9.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (8.9, 9.4 and 9.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 10.9, 7.8 and 10.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for DeMario Douglas yet. His market-based projections were 8.9, 9.4 and 9.4 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for DeMario Douglas is 0.3 touchdowns (9 market sources).

That puts Josh Downs 0.6 points ahead of DeMario Douglas on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Josh Downs and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against MIA.

DeMario Douglas and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

DET allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against DET.

By points allowed to the position, DeMario Douglas has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

DeMario Douglas is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Josh Downs played 81 percent of IND snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 71 of 83 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 7 against MIN: 52 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 8 against JAX: 46 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Josh Downs, Week 9 against DAL: 49 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards.

Through Week 9, DeMario Douglas played 57 percent of NE snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

DeMario Douglas, Week 6 against NYJ: 40 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

DeMario Douglas, Week 7 against CHI: 35 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards.

DeMario Douglas, Week 8 against MIA: 39 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 76 yards, 1 touchdown.

DeMario Douglas, Week 9 against GB: 43 of 63 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 102 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, DeMario Douglas played 17 games for NE and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 233 air yards.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Josh Downs?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), DeMario Douglas 50 (7.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over DeMario Douglas.

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for DeMario Douglas?

    No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), DeMario Douglas 50 (7.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over DeMario Douglas.

Should I drop Josh Downs?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board