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Start Denzel Boston or Josh Downs? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 7:31 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Denzel Boston: Listed Questionable (Calf) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

WR · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
9.8
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR
25.4
3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
45 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
20%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · CLE · vs HOU

Market projects
9.7
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs WR
37.3
4th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at WR
Snap share
91%
Through Week 9
Target share
22%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Denzel Boston for Josh Downs?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Denzel Boston 74 (10.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over Denzel Boston.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Josh Downs over Denzel Boston in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Josh Downs at 9.8 points and Denzel Boston at 9.7, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Josh Downs this week yet, so his 9.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (10.9, 7.8 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Denzel Boston this week yet, so his 9.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (10.5, 9.8 and 8.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Downs at ADP 96 and Denzel Boston at 143.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Josh Downs yet. His market-based projections were 10.9, 7.8 and 10.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Denzel Boston yet. His market-based projections were 10.5, 9.8 and 8.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 9.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Josh Downs 0.2 points ahead of Denzel Boston on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Josh Downs and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against MIA.

Denzel Boston and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 37.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 4th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 187 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU.

By points allowed to the position, Denzel Boston has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Denzel Boston is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Josh Downs played 81 percent of IND snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 6 against TEN: 71 of 83 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 7 against MIN: 52 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 8 against JAX: 46 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Josh Downs, Week 9 against DAL: 49 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards.

Through Week 9, Denzel Boston played 91 percent of CLE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 44 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Denzel Boston, Week 6 against BAL: 58 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Denzel Boston, Week 7 against TEN: 61 of 70 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Denzel Boston, Week 8 against PIT: 58 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 37 yards.

Denzel Boston, Week 9 against NO: 68 of 73 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 98 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Denzel Boston for Josh Downs?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Downs projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Denzel Boston 74 (10.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over Denzel Boston.

  • Should I drop Josh Downs for Denzel Boston?

    No. Keep Josh Downs: he projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.4 a game over 7 games), Denzel Boston 74 (10.5 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Josh Downs over Denzel Boston.

Should I drop Josh Downs?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board