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Start Ted Hurst III or DeMario Douglas? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 6:26 AM ET.

Start

WR · NE · vs GB

Market projects
7.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
35.7
9th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
55%
Through Week 8
Target share
16%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · TB · at CHI

Market projects
6.3
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs WR
29.2
10th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
56%
Through Week 8
Target share
14%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Ted Hurst III for DeMario Douglas?

Yes, on the rest of the season. DeMario Douglas projects 62 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 8 games), Ted Hurst III 41 (5.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts DeMario Douglas over Ted Hurst III.

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Our Week 9 call

Start DeMario Douglas over Ted Hurst III in Week 9.

Market-based projections have DeMario Douglas at 7.7 points and Ted Hurst III at 6.3, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for DeMario Douglas this week yet, so his 7.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (4.8, 8.9 and 9.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ted Hurst III this week yet, so his 6.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (3.5, 8.0 and 7.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for DeMario Douglas yet. His market-based projections were 4.8, 8.9 and 9.4 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 7.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for DeMario Douglas is 0.4 touchdowns (7 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Ted Hurst III yet. His market-based projections were 3.5, 8.0 and 7.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts DeMario Douglas 1.4 points ahead of Ted Hurst III on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

DeMario Douglas and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 35.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 157 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

Ted Hurst III and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 29.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 149 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against CHI.

By points allowed to the position, DeMario Douglas has the softer matchup.

Injury status

DeMario Douglas is not on the injury report.

Ted Hurst III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, DeMario Douglas played 55 percent of NE snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

DeMario Douglas, Week 5 against LV: 37 of 75 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards, 2 touchdowns.

DeMario Douglas, Week 6 against NYJ: 40 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

DeMario Douglas, Week 7 against CHI: 35 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards.

DeMario Douglas, Week 8 against MIA: 3 targets and 3 catches for 76 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Ted Hurst III played 56 percent of TB snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 46 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Ted Hurst III, Week 7 against CAR: 35 of 63 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ted Hurst III, Week 8 against ATL: 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, DeMario Douglas played 17 games for NE and scored 95.8 PPR points, 5.6 a game, finishing WR65.

He caught 31 of 46 targets for 447 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 233 air yards.

He was on the field for 26 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ted Hurst III for DeMario Douglas?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. DeMario Douglas projects 62 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 8 games), Ted Hurst III 41 (5.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts DeMario Douglas over Ted Hurst III.

  • Should I drop DeMario Douglas for Ted Hurst III?

    No. Keep DeMario Douglas: he projects 62 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 8 games), Ted Hurst III 41 (5.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts DeMario Douglas over Ted Hurst III.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board