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Start Ted Hurst III or Adonai Mitchell? Week 9

Updated Nov 1, 4:16 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Tim Patrick: Listed Out (Coach's Decision) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell

Start

Ted Hurst III

WR · TB · at CHI

Market projects
6.3
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs WR
29.2
10th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
56%
Through Week 8
Target share
14%
Through Week 8
Sit

Adonai Mitchell

WR · NYJ · at KC

Market projects
6.0
recent weeks avg
KC D vs WR
23.7
2nd fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
67%
Through Week 8
Target share
23%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Ted Hurst III?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ted Hurst III projects 41 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.1 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Ted Hurst III at 6.3 points and Adonai Mitchell at 6.0, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Ted Hurst III this week yet, so his 6.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (3.5, 8.0 and 7.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell this week yet, so his 6.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (6.5 and 5.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Ted Hurst III yet. His market-based projections were 3.5, 8.0 and 7.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 6.5 and 5.4 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 6.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Ted Hurst III 0.3 points ahead of Adonai Mitchell on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Ted Hurst III and TB visit CHI on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CHI allowed 29.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 149 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against CHI.

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ visit KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 23.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 122 yards and 0.2 touchdowns a game against KC.

By points allowed to the position, Ted Hurst III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ted Hurst III is not on the injury report.

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Ted Hurst III played 56 percent of TB snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 46 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Ted Hurst III, Week 7 against CAR: 35 of 63 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ted Hurst III, Week 8 against ATL: 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 8, Adonai Mitchell played 67 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 7 against MIA: 26 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 8 against LV: 9 targets and 7 catches for 142 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Ted Hurst III?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Ted Hurst III projects 41 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.1 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell.

  • Should I drop Ted Hurst III for Adonai Mitchell?

    No. Keep Ted Hurst III: he projects 41 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (5.1 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board