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Start Derrick Henry or Jonathan Taylor? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:11 AM ET.

Start Jonathan Taylor over Derrick Henry

Taylor projects lower, 14.7 to 15.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 8 for Taylor, 15 for Henry.

Start

Jonathan Taylor

RB · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
14.7
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB
25.0
8th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at RB
Snap share
77%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9
Sit

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
50 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Jonathan Taylor?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jonathan Taylor projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 7 games), Derrick Henry 109 (15.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jonathan Taylor over Derrick Henry.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Jonathan Taylor over Derrick Henry in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Jonathan Taylor at 14.7 points and Derrick Henry at 15.0, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Jonathan Taylor still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 8 against 15, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Jonathan Taylor this week yet, so his 14.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.6, 12.6 and 15.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Derrick Henry this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.3, 16.5 and 12.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Derrick Henry yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.5 and 12.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Jonathan Taylor yet. His market-based projections were 15.6, 12.6 and 15.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 14.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Derrick Henry 0.4 points ahead of Jonathan Taylor on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Derrick Henry and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Jonathan Taylor and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 41 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Jonathan Taylor has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Jonathan Taylor is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Derrick Henry played 55 percent of BAL snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 23 of 51 snaps, 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 9 against JAX: 28 of 56 snaps, 17 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Jonathan Taylor played 77 percent of IND snaps, took 66 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 48 percent of the red zone chances.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 6 against TEN: 65 of 83 snaps, 21 carries for 94 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 7 against MIN: 41 of 58 snaps, 18 carries for 95 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 8 against JAX: 38 of 61 snaps, 8 carries for 23 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 24 yards.

Jonathan Taylor, Week 9 against DAL: 44 of 64 snaps, 13 carries for 46 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 18 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jonathan Taylor played 17 games for IND and scored 362.3 PPR points, 21.3 a game, finishing RB4.

He ran 323 times for 1585 yards and 18 touchdowns, and caught 46 of 55 targets for 378 yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Jonathan Taylor?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jonathan Taylor projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 7 games), Derrick Henry 109 (15.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jonathan Taylor over Derrick Henry.

  • Should I drop Jonathan Taylor for Derrick Henry?

    No. Keep Jonathan Taylor: he projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (18.1 a game over 7 games), Derrick Henry 109 (15.6 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jonathan Taylor over Derrick Henry.

Should I drop Derrick Henry?Should I drop Jonathan Taylor?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board