Start Efton Chism III or Jalen Nailor? Week 9
Updated Nov 3, 12:16 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Efton Chism III over Jalen Nailor
- Market projects
- 4.9
- recent weeks avg
- GB D vs WR
- 34.8
- 9th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 76%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 12%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 4.7
- recent weeks avg
- SF D vs WR
- 29.1
- 11th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 54%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 10%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Efton Chism III for Jalen Nailor?
Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games) and Jalen Nailor 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Jalen Nailor.
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Our Week 9 call
Start Efton Chism III over Jalen Nailor in Week 9.
Market-based projections have Efton Chism III at 4.9 points and Jalen Nailor at 4.7, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Efton Chism III this week yet, so his 4.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (3.5, 4.4 and 6.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (5.8, 4.0 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Efton Chism III yet. His market-based projections were 3.5, 4.4 and 6.8 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 4.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 0.3 touchdowns (7 market sources).
No Week 9 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 5.9, 4.0 and 4.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
That puts Efton Chism III 0.2 points ahead of Jalen Nailor on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Efton Chism III and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
GB allowed 34.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.
Jalen Nailor and LV visit SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
SF allowed 29.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 11th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against SF.
By points allowed to the position, Efton Chism III has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.
Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 8, Efton Chism III played 76 percent of NE snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.
Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.
Efton Chism III, Week 8 against MIA: 53 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 37 yards.
Through Week 8, Jalen Nailor played 54 percent of LV snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.
Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.
Jalen Nailor, Week 7 against LAR: 51 of 68 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.
Jalen Nailor, Week 8 against NYJ: 29 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.
He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.
He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Efton Chism III, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 1 target and 1 catch for 35 yards, 4.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.
He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.
He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Efton Chism III for Jalen Nailor?
Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games) and Jalen Nailor 36 (4.5 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Jalen Nailor.
Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Efton Chism III?
Not on these numbers alone. Jalen Nailor projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 8 games) and Efton Chism III 34 (4.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Jalen Nailor.
Week 9 on the board
- Is Efton Chism III playing Week 9?
- Is Jalen Nailor playing Week 9?
- Patriots depth chart
- Raiders depth chart
- Week 9 WR rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings