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Start Adonai Mitchell or Jalen Nailor? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 5:01 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Tim Patrick: Listed Out (Coach's Decision) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Jalen Nailor over Adonai Mitchell

Nailor projects lower, 4.7 to 6.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 174 for Nailor, 195 for Mitchell.

Start

Jalen Nailor

WR · LV · at SF

Market projects
4.7
recent weeks avg
SF D vs WR
29.1
11th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
34 of 100 at WR
Snap share
54%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

Adonai Mitchell

WR · NYJ · at KC

Market projects
6.0
recent weeks avg
KC D vs WR
24.9
2nd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
65 of 100 at WR
Snap share
65%
Through Week 8
Target share
23%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Jalen Nailor?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Adonai Mitchell.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Jalen Nailor over Adonai Mitchell in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Jalen Nailor at 4.7 points and Adonai Mitchell at 6.0, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Jalen Nailor still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 174 against 195, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (5.8, 4.0 and 4.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell this week yet, so his 6.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (6.5 and 5.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Adonai Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 6.5 and 5.4 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 6.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 5.9, 4.0 and 4.3 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Adonai Mitchell 1.2 points ahead of Jalen Nailor on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ visit KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 24.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against KC.

Jalen Nailor and LV visit SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 29.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against SF.

By points allowed to the position, Jalen Nailor has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Adonai Mitchell played 65 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 7 against MIA: 26 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 8 against LV: 39 of 64 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 142 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Jalen Nailor played 54 percent of LV snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 7 against LAR: 51 of 68 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 8 against NYJ: 29 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Jalen Nailor?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Adonai Mitchell.

  • Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Adonai Mitchell?

    No. Keep Jalen Nailor: he projects 36 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.5 a game over 8 games), Adonai Mitchell 27 (3.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Adonai Mitchell.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board