Start Garrett Wilson or Zay Flowers? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 7:16 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Garrett Wilson over Zay Flowers

Start

Garrett Wilson

WR · NYJ · vs LV

Market projects: 15.4; recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR: 31.4; 16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 58 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 90%; Through Week 7
Target share: 26%; Through Week 7

Sit

Zay Flowers

WR · BAL · at BUF

Market projects: 14.1; recent weeks avg
BUF D vs WR: 42.3; most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 65%; Through Week 7
Target share: 31%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Zay Flowers for Garrett Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 145 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 9 games), Zay Flowers 131 (14.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Zay Flowers.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Garrett Wilson over Zay Flowers in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Garrett Wilson at 15.4 points and Zay Flowers at 14.1, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Garrett Wilson this week yet, so his 15.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (16.0, 15.8 and 14.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Zay Flowers this week yet, so his 14.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (14.6, 13.4 and 14.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Garrett Wilson at ADP 27 and Zay Flowers at 24.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Garrett Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 16.0, 15.8 and 14.5 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 15.4, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Garrett Wilson is 0-1 touchdowns (6 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Zay Flowers yet. His market-based projections were 14.6, 13.5 and 14.2 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 14.1, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Zay Flowers is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Garrett Wilson 1.3 points ahead of Zay Flowers on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Garrett Wilson and NYJ host LV on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LV allowed 31.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against LV.

Zay Flowers and BAL visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 42.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 174 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against BUF.

By points allowed to the position, Zay Flowers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Garrett Wilson is not on the injury report.

Zay Flowers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Garrett Wilson played 90 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Garrett Wilson, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Garrett Wilson, Week 5 against CLE: 65 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.

Garrett Wilson, Week 6 against NE: 61 of 62 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Garrett Wilson, Week 7 against MIA: 50 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Through Week 7, Zay Flowers played 65 percent of BAL snaps, drew 31 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

Zay Flowers, Week 4 against TEN: 47 of 64 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 118 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers, Week 5 against ATL: 62 of 76 snaps, 1 carry for 13 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 6 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 11 targets and 6 catches for 66 yards.

Zay Flowers, Week 7 against CIN: 57 of 67 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 137 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Zay Flowers played 17 games for BAL and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 753 air yards.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Zay Flowers for Garrett Wilson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 145 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 9 games), Zay Flowers 131 (14.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Zay Flowers.
Should I drop Garrett Wilson for Zay Flowers?
No. Keep Garrett Wilson: he projects 145 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 9 games), Zay Flowers 131 (14.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Zay Flowers.

Should I drop Garrett Wilson?