Start Garrett Wilson or A.J. Brown? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:41 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Brown projects lower, 13.7 to 15.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 17 for Brown, 27 for Wilson.

Start

A.J. Brown

WR · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 13.7; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR: 23.8; 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 70 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 7
Target share: 22%; Through Week 7

Sit

Garrett Wilson

WR · NYJ · vs LV

Market projects: 15.4; recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR: 31.4; 16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 58 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 90%; Through Week 7
Target share: 26%; Through Week 7

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Garrett Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 145 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson in Week 8.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 13.7 points and Garrett Wilson at 15.4, a gap of 1.8. A.J. Brown still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 17 against 27, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for A.J. Brown this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (11.8 and 15.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Garrett Wilson this week yet, so his 15.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (16.0, 15.8 and 14.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Garrett Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 16.0, 15.8 and 14.5 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 15.4, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Garrett Wilson is 0-1 touchdowns (6 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for A.J. Brown yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 15.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Garrett Wilson 1.8 points ahead of A.J. Brown on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Garrett Wilson and NYJ host LV on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LV allowed 31.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 150 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against LV.

A.J. Brown and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 116 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Garrett Wilson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Garrett Wilson is not on the injury report.

A.J. Brown is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Garrett Wilson played 90 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Garrett Wilson, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Garrett Wilson, Week 5 against CLE: 65 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.

Garrett Wilson, Week 6 against NE: 61 of 62 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Garrett Wilson, Week 7 against MIA: 50 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown played 68 percent of NE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 7 against CHI: 49 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop A.J. Brown for Garrett Wilson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 145 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Garrett Wilson for A.J. Brown?
No. Keep Garrett Wilson: he projects 145 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 9 games), A.J. Brown 85 (9.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson.

Should I drop Garrett Wilson?