Should I drop Tee Higgins for George Pickens?

Not on these numbers alone. Tee Higgins projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.0 a game over 11 games) and George Pickens 140 (14.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts George Pickens over Tee Higgins.

Start Tee Higgins or George Pickens? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 4:06 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start George Pickens over Tee Higgins

Pickens projects lower, 13.6 to 13.8, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 19 for Pickens, 37 for Higgins.

Start

George Pickens

WR · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 13.6; fantasy pts
PHI D vs WR: 38.3; 3rd most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 90 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 85%; Through Week 6
Target share: 22%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tee Higgins

WR · CIN · at BAL

Market projects: 13.8; fantasy pts
BAL D vs WR: 34.1; 11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 84 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 77%; Through Week 5
Target share: 23%; Through Week 5

Should I drop George Pickens for Tee Higgins?

Not on these numbers alone. George Pickens projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.0 a game over 10 games) and Tee Higgins 143 (13.0 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts George Pickens over Tee Higgins.

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Our Week 7 call

Start George Pickens over Tee Higgins in Week 7.

Market-based projections have George Pickens at 13.6 points and Tee Higgins at 13.8, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. George Pickens still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 19 against 37, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.8 fantasy points for Tee Higgins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tee Higgins is 65 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (11, 10 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.6 fantasy points for George Pickens, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for George Pickens is 63 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (11, 10 and 12 market sources).

That puts Tee Higgins 0.2 points ahead of George Pickens on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tee Higgins and CIN visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 34.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 11th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against BAL.

George Pickens and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 38.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 181 yards and a touchdown a game against PHI.

By points allowed to the position, George Pickens has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tee Higgins is not on the injury report.

George Pickens is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Tee Higgins played 77 percent of CIN snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 42 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tee Higgins, Week 2 against HOU: 43 of 60 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 95 yards.

Tee Higgins, Week 3 against PIT: 53 of 57 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tee Higgins, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 16 targets and 11 catches for 157 yards.

Tee Higgins, Week 5 against MIA: 45 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Through Week 6, George Pickens played 85 percent of DAL snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

George Pickens, Week 3 against BAL: 63 of 74 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 82 yards.

George Pickens, Week 4 against HOU: 67 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 75 yards.

George Pickens, Week 5 against TB: 53 of 60 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 130 yards, 1 touchdown.

George Pickens, Week 6 against GB: 69 of 78 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 73 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tee Higgins played 15 games for CIN and scored 211.6 PPR points, 14.1 a game, finishing WR15.

He caught 59 of 98 targets for 846 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 680 air yards.

He was on the field for 80 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, George Pickens played 17 games for DAL and scored 291.9 PPR points, 17.2 a game, finishing WR5.

He caught 93 of 137 targets for 1429 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 21 red zone targets and 950 air yards.

He was on the field for 83 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop George Pickens for Tee Higgins?
Not on these numbers alone. George Pickens projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.0 a game over 10 games) and Tee Higgins 143 (13.0 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts George Pickens over Tee Higgins.
Should I drop Tee Higgins for George Pickens?
Not on these numbers alone. Tee Higgins projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.0 a game over 11 games) and George Pickens 140 (14.0 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts George Pickens over Tee Higgins.