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Should I start Germie Bernard or Ted Hurst III in Week 7?

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

WR · PIT · at NO

Market projects
13.1
fantasy pts
NO D vs WR
31.8
16th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at WR
Snap share
57%
Through Week 6
Target share
15%
Through Week 6
Sit

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects
4.0
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR
29.4
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at WR
Start Bernard or Hurst? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Germie Bernard: 75 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Ted Hurst III's 45 percent of the snaps and 10 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Ted Hurst III for Germie Bernard?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Germie Bernard projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 10 games), Ted Hurst III 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Ted Hurst III.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR22 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
13.1 pts a game

WR74 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs anytime td line 1-5

Market-based projection
3.5 pts a game Wk 6 price
Overall rank
200

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The gap

  • Board size315 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Germie Bernard, and the board ranks him 45th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ted Hurst III, and the board ranks him 200th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Germie Bernard's market-based projection is 13.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 61st highest figure of the 214 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Ted Hurst III is 1.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 12 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Ted Hurst III's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Germie Bernard has been on the field for 57 percent of PIT snaps, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 52 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 34 two minute targets.

His 32 targets have averaged 5.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against CLE he caught 2 of 2 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against IND he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 6 of 9 targets for 80 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against TB he caught 11 of 12 targets for 87 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Ted Hurst III has been on the field for 59 percent of TB snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 16.1 air yards.

In Week 4 against GB he caught 2 of 3 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against DAL he was not given the ball.

In Week 6 against PIT he caught 3 of 6 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

Their last full seasons

Germie Bernard is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Ted Hurst III is a rookie, so there is no NFL season behind him to price him against.

Head to head

This season Ted Hurst III holds the bigger snap share, 59 percent against 57 percent.

This season Germie Bernard holds the bigger target share, 15 percent against 12 percent.

Byes and availability

Germie Bernard is off in Week 9 and Ted Hurst III in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Ted Hurst III has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ted Hurst III for Germie Bernard?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Germie Bernard projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 10 games), Ted Hurst III 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Ted Hurst III.

  • Should I drop Germie Bernard for Ted Hurst III?

    No. Keep Germie Bernard: he projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (5.7 a game over 10 games), Ted Hurst III 29 (2.9 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Germie Bernard over Ted Hurst III.

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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