Start Ted Hurst III or Jahan Dotson? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 5:21 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Jahan Dotson over Ted Hurst III

Start

Jahan Dotson

WR · ATL · at TB

Market projects: 5.5; recent weeks avg
TB D vs WR: 29.9; 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 20 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 67%; Through Week 7
Target share: 13%; Through Week 7

Sit

Ted Hurst III

WR · TB · vs ATL

Market projects: 5.3; recent weeks avg
ATL D vs WR: 34.4; 11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 66 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 56%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Jahan Dotson for Ted Hurst III?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ted Hurst III projects 55 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 9 games), Jahan Dotson 48 (5.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jahan Dotson over Ted Hurst III. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Jahan Dotson over Ted Hurst III in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Jahan Dotson at 5.5 points and Ted Hurst III at 5.3, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Jahan Dotson this week yet, so his 5.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (4.7, 5.3 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ted Hurst III this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (4.3, 3.5 and 8.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Jahan Dotson yet. His market-based projections were 4.7, 5.3 and 6.7 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 5.6, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Ted Hurst III yet. His market-based projections were 4.3, 3.5 and 8.0 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Jahan Dotson 0.3 points ahead of Ted Hurst III on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Jahan Dotson and ATL visit TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 29.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 135 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against TB.

Ted Hurst III and TB host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 34.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 11th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 170 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against ATL.

By points allowed to the position, Ted Hurst III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jahan Dotson is not on the injury report.

Ted Hurst III is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Jahan Dotson played 67 percent of ATL snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Jahan Dotson, Week 4 against NO: 36 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jahan Dotson, Week 5 against BAL: 42 of 64 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards.

Jahan Dotson, Week 6 against CHI: 47 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 87 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jahan Dotson, Week 7 against SF: 38 of 69 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Through Week 7, Ted Hurst III played 56 percent of TB snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Ted Hurst III, Week 7 against CAR: 35 of 63 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jahan Dotson played 17 games for PHI and scored 50.2 PPR points, 3.0 a game, finishing WR109.

He caught 18 of 36 targets for 262 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jahan Dotson for Ted Hurst III?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ted Hurst III projects 55 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 9 games), Jahan Dotson 48 (5.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jahan Dotson over Ted Hurst III. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Ted Hurst III for Jahan Dotson?
No. Keep Ted Hurst III: he projects 55 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 9 games), Jahan Dotson 48 (5.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jahan Dotson over Ted Hurst III.

Should I drop Ted Hurst III?