Start Kyle Pitts Sr. or Jake Ferguson? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Jake Ferguson

Start

Kyle Pitts Sr.

TE · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 8.7; fantasy pts
SF D vs TE: 9.3; 4th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside: High; 87 of 100 at TE

Sit

Jake Ferguson

TE · DAL · at PHI

Market projects: 6.4; fantasy pts
PHI D vs TE: 11.7; 13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 64 of 100 at TE
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 10%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Jake Ferguson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.0 a game over 10 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 70 (7.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Jake Ferguson, 8.7 to 6.4 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Jake Ferguson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Kyle Pitts Sr. at 8.7 points and Jake Ferguson at 6.4, a gap of 2.3. Drafters take Kyle Pitts Sr. at ADP 84 and Jake Ferguson at 141.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.4 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 20 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (8, 8 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.7 fantasy points for Kyle Pitts Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kyle Pitts Sr. is 36 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (3, 3 and 3 market sources).

That puts Kyle Pitts Sr. 2.3 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 11.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 48 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PHI.

Kyle Pitts Sr. and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 9.4 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 42 yards and no touchdowns a game against SF.

By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson played 68 percent of DAL snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 3 against BAL: 51 of 74 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Pitts Sr. played 17 games for ATL and scored 210.8 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing TE2.

He caught 88 of 118 targets for 928 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 528 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against LAR: 49 of 53 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against ARI: 67 of 77 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kyle Pitts Sr. for Jake Ferguson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jake Ferguson projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.0 a game over 10 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 70 (7.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Jake Ferguson, 8.7 to 6.4 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Kyle Pitts Sr.?
No. Keep Jake Ferguson: he projects 80 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (8.0 a game over 10 games), Kyle Pitts Sr. 70 (7.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kyle Pitts Sr. over Jake Ferguson, 8.7 to 6.4 projected PPR points.