Start Jalen Nailor or Kyle Williams? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 2:46 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Jalen Nailor over Kyle Williams

Start

Jalen Nailor

WR · LV · at NYJ

Market projects: 5.0; recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs WR: 30.6; 15th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 35 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 55%; Through Week 7
Target share: 9%; Through Week 7

Sit

Kyle Williams

WR · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 4.0; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR: 23.8; 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 14 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 30%; Through Week 7
Target share: 6%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Kyle Williams for Jalen Nailor?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 9 games), Kyle Williams 29 (3.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Kyle Williams.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Jalen Nailor over Kyle Williams in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Jalen Nailor at 5.0 points and Kyle Williams at 4.0, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Jalen Nailor this week yet, so his 5.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (5.8 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Kyle Williams this week yet, so his 4.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (3.7 and 4.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Jalen Nailor yet. His market-based projections were 5.9 and 4.0 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 5.0, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Kyle Williams yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.4 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 4.1, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Jalen Nailor 0.9 points ahead of Kyle Williams on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Jalen Nailor and LV visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 30.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

Kyle Williams and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 116 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Jalen Nailor has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Nailor is not on the injury report.

Kyle Williams is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Jalen Nailor played 55 percent of LV snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jalen Nailor, Week 3 against NO: 40 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 4 against KC: 19 of 84 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 6 against BUF: 42 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Jalen Nailor, Week 7 against LAR: 51 of 68 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Through Week 7, Kyle Williams played 30 percent of NE snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Kyle Williams, Week 4 against BUF: 19 of 76 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kyle Williams, Week 5 against LV: 27 of 75 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 91 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kyle Williams, Week 6 against NYJ: 25 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 12 yards.

Kyle Williams, Week 7 against CHI: 21 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Nailor played 17 games for MIN and scored 100.7 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing WR61.

He caught 29 of 53 targets for 444 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 332 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyle Williams played 17 games for NE and scored 49.2 PPR points, 2.9 a game, finishing WR112.

He caught 10 of 21 targets for 209 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 0 red zone targets and 130 air yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kyle Williams for Jalen Nailor?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jalen Nailor projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 9 games), Kyle Williams 29 (3.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Kyle Williams.
Should I drop Jalen Nailor for Kyle Williams?
No. Keep Jalen Nailor: he projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 9 games), Kyle Williams 29 (3.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jalen Nailor over Kyle Williams.