Start Javonte Williams or Jaylen Warren? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 2:06 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren

Start

Javonte Williams

RB · DAL · vs ARI

Market projects: 18.6; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs RB: 21.9; 15th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 75%; Through Week 7
Target share: 8%; Through Week 7

Sit

Jaylen Warren

RB · PIT · vs CLE

Market projects: 16.7; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB: 19.4; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 66 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 74%; Through Week 7
Target share: 14%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Javonte Williams for Jaylen Warren?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Warren projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Javonte Williams 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Javonte Williams at 18.6 points and Jaylen Warren at 16.7, a gap of 1.9. No player market is posted for Javonte Williams this week yet, so his 18.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (23.4, 17.3 and 15.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jaylen Warren this week yet, so his 16.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (17.8, 15.7 and 16.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Javonte Williams at ADP 33 and Jaylen Warren at 62.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Javonte Williams yet. His market-based projections were 23.4, 17.3 and 15.1 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 18.6, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Javonte Williams is 1.2 touchdowns (6 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Jaylen Warren yet. His market-based projections were 17.8, 15.7 and 16.7 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 16.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Warren is 0.8 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Javonte Williams 1.9 points ahead of Jaylen Warren on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Javonte Williams and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ARI allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 31 more yards.

Jaylen Warren and PIT host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 20 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Javonte Williams has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Javonte Williams is not on the injury report.

Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Javonte Williams played 75 percent of DAL snaps, took 69 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

Javonte Williams, Week 4 against HOU: 58 of 78 snaps, 19 carries for 62 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Javonte Williams, Week 5 against TB: 51 of 60 snaps, 12 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Javonte Williams, Week 6 against GB: 57 of 78 snaps, 11 carries for 41 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards, 1 touchdown.

Javonte Williams, Week 7 against PHI: 44 of 68 snaps, 25 carries for 155 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Jaylen Warren played 74 percent of PIT snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 24 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 5 against IND: 52 of 60 snaps, 15 carries for 101 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 87 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jaylen Warren, Week 6 against TB: 59 of 79 snaps, 14 carries for 50 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 28 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 7 against NO: 40 of 64 snaps, 18 carries for 101 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 36 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Javonte Williams played 16 games for DAL and scored 242.8 PPR points, 15.2 a game, finishing RB12.

He ran 252 times for 1201 yards and 11 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 51 targets for 137 yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Javonte Williams for Jaylen Warren?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Warren projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Javonte Williams 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Jaylen Warren for Javonte Williams?
No. Keep Jaylen Warren: he projects 154 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 9 games), Javonte Williams 144 (16.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Javonte Williams over Jaylen Warren.

Should I drop Javonte Williams?