Start MarShawn Lloyd or J.K. Dobbins? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 5:56 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd

Start

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · vs KC

Market projects: 7.4; fantasy pts
KC D vs RB: 19.5; 9th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 12 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 41%; Through Week 7
Target share: 5%; Through Week 7

Sit

MarShawn Lloyd

RB · GB · vs CAR

Market projects: 5.4; fantasy pts
CAR D vs RB: 28.7; 2nd most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 69 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 38%; Through Week 7
Target share: 6%; Through Week 7

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for J.K. Dobbins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 83 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 9 games), MarShawn Lloyd 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd, 7.4 to 5.4 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 8 call

Start J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd in Week 8.

Market-based projections have J.K. Dobbins at 7.4 points and MarShawn Lloyd at 5.4, a gap of 2.0. J.K. Dobbins's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take J.K. Dobbins at ADP 90 and MarShawn Lloyd at 125. Market coverage on J.K. Dobbins is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.4 fantasy points for J.K. Dobbins, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for J.K. Dobbins is 26 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (8 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.4 fantasy points for MarShawn Lloyd, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 19 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 8 and 13 market sources).

That puts J.K. Dobbins 2.0 points ahead of MarShawn Lloyd on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

J.K. Dobbins and DEN host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 37 more yards.

MarShawn Lloyd and GB host CAR on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 127 yards and 1-2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 29 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, MarShawn Lloyd has the softer matchup.

Injury status

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, J.K. Dobbins played 41 percent of DEN snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 4 against SF: 21 of 65 snaps, 11 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 7 against ARI: 14 of 61 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, MarShawn Lloyd played 38 percent of GB snaps, took 39 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 4 against TB: 33 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 13 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 7 against DET: 24 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 20 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for J.K. Dobbins?
Yes, on the rest of the season. J.K. Dobbins projects 83 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 9 games), MarShawn Lloyd 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd, 7.4 to 5.4 projected PPR points.
Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for MarShawn Lloyd?
No. Keep J.K. Dobbins: he projects 83 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.2 a game over 9 games), MarShawn Lloyd 57 (6.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts J.K. Dobbins over MarShawn Lloyd, 7.4 to 5.4 projected PPR points.

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins?Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd?