Start Ollie Gordon II or J.K. Dobbins? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 9:36 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Ollie Gordon II over J.K. Dobbins

Start

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · vs NE

Market projects: 14.9; fantasy pts
NE D vs RB: 20.6; 13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 71 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 83%; Through Week 7
Target share: 14%; Through Week 7

Sit

J.K. Dobbins

RB · DEN · vs KC

Market projects: 7.3; fantasy pts
KC D vs RB: 19.5; 9th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 9 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 41%; Through Week 7
Target share: 5%; Through Week 7

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Ollie Gordon II?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 97 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.7 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 83 (9.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over J.K. Dobbins, 14.9 to 7.3 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Ollie Gordon II over J.K. Dobbins in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Ollie Gordon II at 14.9 points and J.K. Dobbins at 7.3, a gap of 7.7. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Ollie Gordon II is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.3 fantasy points for J.K. Dobbins, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for J.K. Dobbins is 26 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (8 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.9 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 0.6 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Ollie Gordon II 7.7 points ahead of J.K. Dobbins on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

J.K. Dobbins and DEN host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 72 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 37 more yards.

Ollie Gordon II and MIA host NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 35 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.

Injury status

J.K. Dobbins is not on the injury report.

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, J.K. Dobbins played 41 percent of DEN snaps, took 52 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 4 against SF: 21 of 65 snaps, 11 carries for 40 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 5 against LAC: 32 of 62 snaps, 18 carries for 68 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 6 against SEA: 31 of 60 snaps, 17 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.

J.K. Dobbins, Week 7 against ARI: 14 of 61 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Ollie Gordon II played 83 percent of MIA snaps, took 64 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 45 percent of the red zone chances.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 7 against NYJ: 54 of 65 snaps, 25 carries for 103 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, J.K. Dobbins played 10 games for DEN and scored 115.9 PPR points, 11.6 a game, finishing RB43.

He ran 153 times for 772 yards and 4 touchdowns, and caught 11 of 14 targets for 37 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins for Ollie Gordon II?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 97 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.7 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 83 (9.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over J.K. Dobbins, 14.9 to 7.3 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for J.K. Dobbins?
No. Keep Ollie Gordon II: he projects 97 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (9.7 a game over 10 games), J.K. Dobbins 83 (9.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over J.K. Dobbins, 14.9 to 7.3 projected PPR points.

Should I drop J.K. Dobbins?