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Start MarShawn Lloyd or Keaton Mitchell? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:46 AM ET.

Start

RB · GB · at NE

Market projects
6.6
recent weeks avg
NE D vs RB
20.6
13th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
35%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · LAC · vs HOU

Market projects
5.8
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs RB
22.3
12th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
32%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for MarShawn Lloyd?

Yes, on the rest of the season. MarShawn Lloyd projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Keaton Mitchell.

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Our Week 9 call

Start MarShawn Lloyd over Keaton Mitchell in Week 9.

Market-based projections have MarShawn Lloyd at 6.6 points and Keaton Mitchell at 5.8, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd this week yet, so his 6.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (11.4, 3.5 and 4.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell this week yet, so his 5.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (7.0 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take MarShawn Lloyd at ADP 125 and Keaton Mitchell at 190.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for MarShawn Lloyd yet. His market-based projections were 11.5, 3.5 and 4.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 6.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

No Week 9 player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 7.0 and 4.6 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 5.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts MarShawn Lloyd 0.8 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 83 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 35 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC host HOU on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Keaton Mitchell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, MarShawn Lloyd played 35 percent of GB snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 7 against DET: 24 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 20 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 8 against CAR: 11 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards.

Through Week 8, Keaton Mitchell played 32 percent of LAC snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 8 against LAR: 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for MarShawn Lloyd?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. MarShawn Lloyd projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Keaton Mitchell.

  • Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Keaton Mitchell?

    No. Keep MarShawn Lloyd: he projects 50 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts MarShawn Lloyd over Keaton Mitchell.

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board