Start Ollie Gordon II or Kenny Gainwell? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Ollie Gordon II over Kenny Gainwell

Start

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB

Sit

Kenny Gainwell

RB · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 5.3; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB: 25.7; 5th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 35 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 36%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Ollie Gordon II?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Kenny Gainwell 61 (6.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Kenny Gainwell.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ollie Gordon II over Kenny Gainwell in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ollie Gordon II at 9.7 points and Kenny Gainwell at 5.3, a gap of 4.3. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (4.3, 5.3 and 6.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 4.3, 5.3 and 6.5 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Kenny Gainwell is 0.2 touchdowns (12 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 11 market sources).

That puts Ollie Gordon II 4.3 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Kenny Gainwell and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 25.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kenny Gainwell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Kenny Gainwell played 36 percent of TB snaps, took 12 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 11 of 74 snaps, 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Ollie Gordon II?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Kenny Gainwell 61 (6.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Kenny Gainwell.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Kenny Gainwell?
No. Keep Ollie Gordon II: he projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Kenny Gainwell 61 (6.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Kenny Gainwell.