Start Tyrone Tracy Jr. or Kenny Gainwell? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 6:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Kenny Gainwell over Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Gainwell projects lower, 5.3 to 6.3, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 95 for Gainwell, 192 for Tracy.

Start

Kenny Gainwell

RB · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 5.3; recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB: 25.7; 5th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 36 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 36%; Through Week 6
Target share: 9%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

RB · NYG · at HOU

Market projects: 6.3; fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB: 18.9; 9th fewest to RBs (2026)

Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Kenny Gainwell?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenny Gainwell projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 10 games), Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Tyrone Tracy Jr.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Kenny Gainwell over Tyrone Tracy Jr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Kenny Gainwell at 5.3 points and Tyrone Tracy Jr. at 6.3, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kenny Gainwell still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 95 against 192, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell this week yet, so his 5.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (4.3, 5.3 and 6.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Tyrone Tracy Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyrone Tracy Jr. is 24 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 9, 11 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kenny Gainwell yet. His market-based projections were 4.3, 5.3 and 6.5 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Kenny Gainwell is 0.2 touchdowns (11 market sources).

That puts Tyrone Tracy Jr. 0.9 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tyrone Tracy Jr. and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 76 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Kenny Gainwell and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 25.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kenny Gainwell has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyrone Tracy Jr. is not on the injury report.

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Kenny Gainwell played 36 percent of TB snaps, took 12 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 5 against DAL: 26 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 18 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 6 against PIT: 11 of 74 snaps, 2 carries for 17 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyrone Tracy Jr. played 15 games for NYG and scored 160.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing RB28.

He ran 176 times for 740 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 288 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against DAL: 18 carries for 103 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 56 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.9 PPR points.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against LV: 42 of 64 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -5 yards, 6.7 PPR points.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against MIN: 35 of 56 snaps, 16 carries for 71 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 9.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Kenny Gainwell?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kenny Gainwell projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 10 games), Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Tyrone Tracy Jr.
Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Tyrone Tracy Jr.?
No. Keep Kenny Gainwell: he projects 61 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 10 games), Tyrone Tracy Jr. 34 (3.4 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kenny Gainwell over Tyrone Tracy Jr.