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Start Khalil Herbert or Seth McGowan? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 12:21 PM ET.

Start

RB · IND · vs MIA

Market projects
5.2
recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB
25.0
8th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at RB
Snap share
22%
Through Week 9
Target share
2%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
2.9
recent weeks avg
KC D vs RB
19.8
10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
9 of 100 at RB
Snap share
17%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9

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Our Week 10 call

Start Seth McGowan over Khalil Herbert in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Seth McGowan at 5.2 points and Khalil Herbert at 2.9, a gap of 2.3. No player market is posted for Seth McGowan this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (2.7, 6.0 and 7.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Khalil Herbert this week yet, so his 2.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (2.6 and 3.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Seth McGowan yet. His market-based projections were 2.7, 6.0 and 7.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Khalil Herbert yet. His market-based projections were 2.6 and 3.2 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 2.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Seth McGowan 2.3 points ahead of Khalil Herbert on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Seth McGowan and IND host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 41 more yards.

Khalil Herbert and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 69 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against KC and caught passes for 42 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Seth McGowan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Seth McGowan is not on the injury report.

Khalil Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Seth McGowan played 22 percent of IND snaps, took 18 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Seth McGowan, Week 6 against TEN: 19 of 83 snaps, 4 carries for 27 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 7 against MIN: 20 of 58 snaps, 11 carries for 46 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 8 against JAX: 15 of 61 snaps, 5 carries for 29 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Seth McGowan, Week 9 against DAL: 20 of 64 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -3 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Khalil Herbert played 17 percent of ATL snaps, took 9 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Khalil Herbert, Week 7 against SF: 11 of 69 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards.

Khalil Herbert, Week 8 against TB: 10 of 53 snaps, 4 carries for 12 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Khalil Herbert, Week 9 against CIN: 11 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Khalil Herbert played 7 games for NYJ and scored 6.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB118.

He ran 16 times for 52 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 4 targets for 4 yards.

He was on the field for 4 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board