Start Luther Burden III or Xavier Worthy? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Luther Burden III over Xavier Worthy

Start

Luther Burden III

WR · CHI · vs NE

Market projects: 12.8; fantasy pts
NE D vs WR: 31.7; 16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 82 of 100 at WR

Sit

Xavier Worthy

WR · KC · at SEA

Market projects: 10.3; recent weeks avg
SEA D vs WR: 22.7; 2nd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 53 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 81%; Through Week 6
Target share: 20%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Xavier Worthy for Luther Burden III?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Luther Burden III projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 10 games), Xavier Worthy 101 (9.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Xavier Worthy.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Luther Burden III over Xavier Worthy in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 12.8 points and Xavier Worthy at 10.3, a gap of 2.5. No player market is posted for Xavier Worthy this week yet, so his 10.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (8.7 and 12.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Xavier Worthy at 109.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.8 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Luther Burden III is 58 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (13, 11 and 13 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Xavier Worthy yet. His market-based projections were 8.7 and 12.0 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 10.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Xavier Worthy is 0.4 touchdowns (12 market sources).

That puts Luther Burden III 2.5 points ahead of Xavier Worthy on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Luther Burden III and CHI host NE on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

NE allowed 31.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and a touchdown a game against NE.

Xavier Worthy and KC visit SEA on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

SEA allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 101 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against SEA.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.

Xavier Worthy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Xavier Worthy played 81 percent of KC snaps, drew 20 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Xavier Worthy, Week 2 against IND: 69 of 80 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 25 yards, 1 touchdown.

Xavier Worthy, Week 3 against MIA: 43 of 52 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards.

Xavier Worthy, Week 4 against LV: 45 of 60 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 70 yards.

Xavier Worthy, Week 6 against LAC: 51 of 61 snaps, 7 targets and 7 catches for 73 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Xavier Worthy played 14 games for KC and scored 109.9 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR59.

He caught 42 of 73 targets for 532 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 339 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Xavier Worthy for Luther Burden III?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Luther Burden III projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 10 games), Xavier Worthy 101 (9.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Xavier Worthy.
Should I drop Luther Burden III for Xavier Worthy?
No. Keep Luther Burden III: he projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 10 games), Xavier Worthy 101 (9.2 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Luther Burden III over Xavier Worthy.