Start Ollie Gordon II or MarShawn Lloyd? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Ollie Gordon II over MarShawn Lloyd

Start

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB

Sit

MarShawn Lloyd

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 5.0; fantasy pts
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 45 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 39%; Through Week 6
Target share: 6%; Through Week 6

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Ollie Gordon II?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over MarShawn Lloyd, 9.7 to 5.0 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ollie Gordon II over MarShawn Lloyd in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ollie Gordon II at 9.7 points and MarShawn Lloyd at 5.0, a gap of 4.7. MarShawn Lloyd's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 5.0 fantasy points for MarShawn Lloyd, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for MarShawn Lloyd is 15 rushing yards and 0.3 touchdowns (5 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 11 market sources).

That puts Ollie Gordon II 4.7 points ahead of MarShawn Lloyd on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

MarShawn Lloyd and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.

Injury status

MarShawn Lloyd is not on the injury report.

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, MarShawn Lloyd played 39 percent of GB snaps, took 41 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 3 against ATL: 15 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 11 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 4 against TB: 33 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 13 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 36 yards.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 5 against CHI: 27 of 61 snaps, 10 carries for 31 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 2 touchdowns.

MarShawn Lloyd, Week 6 against DAL: 30 of 75 snaps, 8 carries for 10 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop MarShawn Lloyd for Ollie Gordon II?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over MarShawn Lloyd, 9.7 to 5.0 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for MarShawn Lloyd?
No. Keep Ollie Gordon II: he projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), MarShawn Lloyd 67 (6.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over MarShawn Lloyd, 9.7 to 5.0 projected PPR points.