Start Rico Dowdle or Quinshon Judkins? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 7:46 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.

Judkins projects lower, 9.3 to 9.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 48 for Judkins, 76 for Dowdle.

Start

Quinshon Judkins

RB · CLE · vs HOU

Market projects: 9.3; fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB: 22.3; 12th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 34 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 52%; Through Week 9
Target share: 10%; Through Week 9

Sit

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
CIN D vs RB: 19.4; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 71 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 40%; Through Week 8
Target share: 10%; Through Week 8

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Quinshon Judkins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Quinshon Judkins projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.4 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 46 (5.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Quinshon Judkins over Rico Dowdle.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Quinshon Judkins over Rico Dowdle in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Quinshon Judkins at 9.3 points and Rico Dowdle at 9.7, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Quinshon Judkins still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 48 against 76, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 32 rushing yards, 14 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (11, 11, 11 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.3 fantasy points for Quinshon Judkins, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Quinshon Judkins is 45 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (6, 5, 6 and 8 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 0.5 points ahead of Quinshon Judkins on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 30 more yards.

Quinshon Judkins and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Quinshon Judkins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

Quinshon Judkins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle played 40 percent of PIT snaps, took 37 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 7 against NO: 28 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 41 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 8 against CLE: 28 of 59 snaps, 15 carries for 56 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Quinshon Judkins played 52 percent of CLE snaps, took 59 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 43 percent of the red zone chances.

Quinshon Judkins, Week 5 against NYJ: 36 of 68 snaps, 14 carries for 44 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 6 yards.

Quinshon Judkins, Week 7 against TEN: 37 of 70 snaps, 17 carries for 96 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Quinshon Judkins, Week 8 against PIT: 27 of 70 snaps, 11 carries for 25 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.

Quinshon Judkins, Week 9 against NO: 25 of 73 snaps, 15 carries for 43 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Quinshon Judkins played 15 games for CLE and scored 169.8 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing RB26.

He ran 230 times for 827 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 26 of 36 targets for 171 yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Quinshon Judkins?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Quinshon Judkins projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.4 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 46 (5.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Quinshon Judkins over Rico Dowdle.
Should I drop Quinshon Judkins for Rico Dowdle?
No. Keep Quinshon Judkins: he projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.4 a game over 7 games), Rico Dowdle 46 (5.7 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Quinshon Judkins over Rico Dowdle.

Should I drop Quinshon Judkins?Should I drop Rico Dowdle?

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