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Start Rico Dowdle or Ty Johnson? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:06 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Ty Johnson: Listed Questionable (Illness) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Rico Dowdle over Ty Johnson

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
9.8
fantasy pts
CIN D vs RB
19.4
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at RB
Snap share
40%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

Ty Johnson

RB · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
5.7
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs RB
21.8
14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
67 of 100 at RB
Snap share
24%
Through Week 9
Target share
10%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Ty Johnson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ty Johnson projects 38 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Ty Johnson. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Rico Dowdle rookie cardsTy Johnson rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Ty Johnson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 9.8 points and Ty Johnson at 5.7, a gap of 4.1. No player market is posted for Ty Johnson this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (5.1 and 6.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.8 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 32 rushing yards, 14 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (10, 10, 10 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Ty Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 5.1 and 6.3 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Rico Dowdle 4.1 points ahead of Ty Johnson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 30 more yards.

Ty Johnson and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 105 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 27 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ty Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

Ty Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle played 40 percent of PIT snaps, took 37 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 7 against NO: 28 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 41 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 8 against CLE: 28 of 59 snaps, 15 carries for 56 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Ty Johnson played 24 percent of BUF snaps, took 4 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Ty Johnson, Week 5 against LAR: 14 of 64 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 72 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 6 against LV: 12 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 8 against BAL: 20 of 82 snaps, 4 carries for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 9 against MIN: 1 carry for 1 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 36 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ty Johnson played 17 games for BUF and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.

He ran 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Ty Johnson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Ty Johnson projects 38 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Ty Johnson. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Ty Johnson for Rico Dowdle?

    No. Keep Ty Johnson: he projects 38 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.7 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Ty Johnson.

Should I drop Rico Dowdle?Should I drop Ty Johnson?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board