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Trade Carnell Tate for Josh Downs? Close to even, 17 to 25.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Carnell Tate is 17 and Josh Downs is 25, a 8 point edge to Downs that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Tate rates 10.9 market points a game with 10 games left, Downs 11.7 with 10. On usage, Tate has drawn 27 percent of TEN targets; Downs has drawn 21 percent of IND targets. Tate hosts CLE in Week 7 (12th most points allowed to WRs); Downs is at MIN in Week 7 (5th fewest points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

Carnell Tate 1725 Josh Downs

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Carnell Tate

WR27TEN

17

value, #61

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
9
Carnell Tate weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
8.510.110.911.711.3

Josh Downs

WR23IND

25

value, #52

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.414.212.511.71.3

Where the values come from

Tate is the 27th receiver on the chart and 61st overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 17.

Downs is the 23rd receiver on the chart and 52nd overall. His 11.7 a game is 2.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Carnell Tate at 8.5 in Week 3, 10.1 in Week 4, 10.9 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 11.4 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 2.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4, 12.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 1.3 in Week 7, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Carnell Tate has scored 67.4 PPR points in 6 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Week 1 vs NYJ: 7.8 points (WR52 that week), 4 of 6 targets for 38 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs PHI: 5.7 points (WR66 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 27 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs NYG: 11.8 points (WR37 that week), 6 of 9 targets for 58 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs BAL: 21.5 points (WR11 that week), 9 of 12 targets for 145 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs HOU: 1.6 points (WR97 that week), 1 of 5 targets for 6 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs IND: 19.0 points (WR11 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 70 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.

Josh Downs has scored 53.6 PPR points in 6 games, 8.9 a game, 2.8 a game less than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 points (WR41 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate has averaged 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 57 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 4 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against IND he had 7 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.0 catches for 48 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 6 games.

In Week 6 against TEN he had 1 carry and 8 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Carnell Tate has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 9; Josh Downs has 10 games with his bye in Week 13.

CLE, Tate's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 33.5 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 12th most to WRs of 32.

MIN, Downs's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 27.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest to WRs of 32.

Other trades for Carnell Tate and Josh Downs

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Carnell Tate for Josh Downs?

    It is close to even: Carnell Tate is 17 and Josh Downs is 25 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Carnell Tate or Josh Downs?

    Josh Downs, 25 to 17. He rates 11.7 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.9 over 10 for Carnell Tate, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number