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Trade Dak Prescott for Michael Wilson? Close to even, 11 to 17.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Dak Prescott is 11 and Michael Wilson is 17, a 6 point edge to Wilson that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Prescott rates 18.0 market points a game with 10 games left, Wilson 10.9 with 10. On usage, Prescott has thrown 41.0 passes and run 2.3 times a game; Wilson has drawn 25 percent of ARI targets. Prescott is at PHI in Week 7 (9th most points allowed to QBs); Wilson hosts DEN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

Dak Prescott 1117 Michael Wilson

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Dak Prescott

QB5DAL

11

value, #69

Pts/game
18.0
Games left
10
Bye
14
Dak Prescott weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
17.818.022.018.317.6

Michael Wilson

WR28ARI

17

value, #62

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
1.52.115.813.510.9

Where the values come from

Prescott is the 5th quarterback on the chart and 69th overall. His 18.0 a game is 1.1 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 11.

Wilson is the 28th receiver on the chart and 62nd overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Dak Prescott at 17.8 in Week 3, 18.0 in Week 4, 22.0 in Week 5, 18.3 in Week 6 and 17.6 in Week 7, a median of 18.0 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6 and 10.9 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 9.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Dak Prescott has scored 109.9 PPR points in 6 games, 18.3 a game, level with the 18.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB6 with 323.8 PPR points in 17 games, 19.0 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 15.4 points (QB19 that week), 175 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 14 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 29.8 points (QB3 that week), 279 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 26 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.9 points (QB19 that week), 276 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 19 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 18.1 points (QB12 that week), 335 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 7 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.6 points (QB17 that week), 316 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs GB: 13.0 points (QB20 that week), 258 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 7 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Michael Wilson has scored 71.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Dak Prescott has averaged 41.0 attempts, 273 passing yards and 1.7 touchdown passes a game, with 2.3 runs for 12 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against GB he went 34 of 54 for 258 yards and 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.7 targets and 5-6 catches for 53 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LAR he had 7 targets on 92 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Dak Prescott has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Michael Wilson has 10 games with his bye in Week 14.

PHI, Prescott's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 19.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 9th most to QBs of 32.

DEN, Wilson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to WRs of 32.

Other trades for Dak Prescott and Michael Wilson

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Dak Prescott for Michael Wilson?

    It is close to even: Dak Prescott is 11 and Michael Wilson is 17 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Dak Prescott or Michael Wilson?

    Michael Wilson, 17 to 11. He rates 10.9 market points a game over 10 games left, against 18.0 over 10 for Dak Prescott, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number