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Trade Dalton Kincaid for Saquon Barkley? Close to even, 23 to 28.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Dalton Kincaid is 23 and Saquon Barkley is 28, a 5 point edge to Barkley that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Kincaid rates 11.7 market points a game with 10 games left, Barkley 11.4 with 9. On usage, Kincaid has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets; Barkley has 34 percent of PHI carries and 6 percent of its targets. Kincaid hosts BAL in Week 8 (13th fewest points allowed to TEs); Barkley is at WAS in Week 8 (7th fewest points allowed to RBs). Dalton Kincaid is listed Questionable (chest); Saquon Barkley is listed Questionable (back).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

Dalton Kincaid 2328 Saquon Barkley

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TE6BUFQuestionable

23

value, #54

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
7
Dalton Kincaid weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.312.311.711.7no projection10.5

RB21PHIQuestionable

28

value, #46

Pts/game
11.4
Games left
9
Bye
10
Saquon Barkley weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.513.63.9no projection11.33.4

Where the values come from

Kincaid is the 6th tight end on the chart and 54th overall. His 11.7 a game is 2.3 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 23.

Barkley is the 21st running back on the chart and 46th overall. His 11.4 a game is 3.1 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 28.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Dalton Kincaid at 12.3 in Week 3, 12.3 in Week 4, 11.7 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 10.5 in Week 8, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 1.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Saquon Barkley at 15.5 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 3.9 in Week 5, 11.4 in Week 7 and 3.4 in Week 8, a median of 11.4 points a game, down 12.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Dalton Kincaid has scored 60.5 PPR points in 6 games, 10.1 a game, 1.6 a game less than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE20 with 126.1 PPR points in 12 games, 10.5 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 18.0 points (TE5 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 130 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 22.5 points (TE3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 3.8 points (TE37 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 1.7 points (TE52 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 59 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 3.7 points (TE38 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LV: 10.8 points (TE16 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 38 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Saquon Barkley has scored 38.1 PPR points in 5 games, 7.6 a game, 3.8 a game less than the 11.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB14 with 232.3 PPR points in 16 games, 14.5 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 9.0 points (RB30 that week), 83 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 3.0 points (RB58 that week), 9 rushing yards on 4 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 16 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 9.0 points (RB32 that week), 82 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -2 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LAR: 2.0 points (RB62 that week), 8 rushing yards on 2 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 7 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DAL: 15.1 points (RB20 that week), 62 rushing yards on 7 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards, 1 touchdown, 16 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Dalton Kincaid has averaged 4.8 targets and 3.8 catches for 53 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LV he had 8 targets on 72 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Saquon Barkley has averaged 8.6 carries for 49 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.2 catches for 3 yards a game on 33 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 17 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 5 games.

In Week 7 against DAL he had 7 carries and 2 targets on 16 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Dalton Kincaid has 10 games in it with no bye left; Saquon Barkley has 9 games with his bye in Week 10.

BAL, Kincaid's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 12.3 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest to TEs of 32.

WAS, Barkley's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 19.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to RBs of 32.

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Dalton Kincaid for Saquon Barkley?

    It is close to even: Dalton Kincaid is 23 and Saquon Barkley is 28 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Dalton Kincaid or Saquon Barkley?

    Saquon Barkley, 28 to 23. He rates 11.4 market points a game over 9 games left, against 11.7 over 10 for Dalton Kincaid, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number