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Trade A.J. Brown for Saquon Barkley? No, Brown is worth 9 more.

No on value. A.J. Brown is worth 37 rest of season and Saquon Barkley 28, so giving up Brown costs 9. Brown rates 13.2 market points a game with 9 games left, Barkley 11.4 with 9. On usage, Brown has drawn 22 percent of NE targets; Barkley has 34 percent of PHI carries and 6 percent of its targets. Brown is at MIA in Week 8 (3rd fewest points allowed to WRs); Barkley is at WAS in Week 8 (7th fewest points allowed to RBs). A.J. Brown is listed Questionable (ankle); Saquon Barkley is listed Questionable (back).

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping A.J. Brown wins by 9.

A.J. Brown 3728 Saquon Barkley

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A.J. Brown

WR19NEQuestionable

37

value, #42

Pts/game
13.2
Games left
9
Bye
11
A.J. Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
no projectionno projectionno projection3.315.513.2

Saquon Barkley

RB21PHIQuestionable

28

value, #46

Pts/game
11.4
Games left
9
Bye
10
Saquon Barkley weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.513.63.9no projection11.33.4

Where the values come from

Brown is the 19th receiver on the chart and 42nd overall. His 13.2 a game is 4.1 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 37.

Barkley is the 21st running back on the chart and 46th overall. His 11.4 a game is 3.1 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 28.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had A.J. Brown at 3.3 in Week 6, 15.5 in Week 7 and 13.2 in Week 8, a median of 13.2 points a game, up 9.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Saquon Barkley at 15.5 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 3.9 in Week 5, 11.4 in Week 7 and 3.4 in Week 8, a median of 11.4 points a game, down 12.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

A.J. Brown has scored 19.1 PPR points in 3 games, 6.4 a game, 6.8 a game less than the 13.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR11 with 220.3 PPR points in 15 games with PHI, 14.7 a game.

Week 1 vs SEA: 5.6 points (WR66 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards, 44 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NYJ: 5.7 points (WR59 that week), 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs CHI: 7.8 points (WR35 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards, 91 percent of snaps.

Saquon Barkley has scored 38.1 PPR points in 5 games, 7.6 a game, 3.8 a game less than the 11.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB14 with 232.3 PPR points in 16 games, 14.5 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 9.0 points (RB30 that week), 83 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 3.0 points (RB58 that week), 9 rushing yards on 4 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 16 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 9.0 points (RB32 that week), 82 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -2 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LAR: 2.0 points (RB62 that week), 8 rushing yards on 2 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 7 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DAL: 15.1 points (RB20 that week), 62 rushing yards on 7 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards, 1 touchdown, 16 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has averaged 6.7 targets and 3.0 catches for 34 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 3 games.

In Week 7 against CHI he had 6 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Saquon Barkley has averaged 8.6 carries for 49 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.2 catches for 3 yards a game on 33 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 17 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 5 games.

In Week 7 against DAL he had 7 carries and 2 targets on 16 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. A.J. Brown has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Saquon Barkley has 9 games with his bye in Week 10.

MIA, Brown's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 23.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest to WRs of 32.

WAS, Barkley's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 19.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Saquon Barkley would want about 9 more added to make it even: a player like Malik Washington, valued at 9. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Malik Washington's player page

Other trades for A.J. Brown and Saquon Barkley

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade A.J. Brown for Saquon Barkley?

    No on value: A.J. Brown is worth 37 and Saquon Barkley 28, a loss of 9. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, A.J. Brown or Saquon Barkley?

    A.J. Brown, 37 to 28. He rates 13.2 market points a game over 9 games left, against 11.4 over 9 for Saquon Barkley, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number