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Trade David Montgomery for Michael Wilson? Close to even, 20 to 25.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value David Montgomery is 20 and Michael Wilson is 25, a 5 point edge to Wilson that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Montgomery rates 10.5 market points a game with 9 games left, Wilson 11.9 with 9. On usage, Montgomery has 45 percent of HOU carries and 4 percent of its targets; Wilson has drawn 24 percent of ARI targets. Montgomery is on bye in Week 8; Wilson is at DAL in Week 8 (10th most points allowed to WRs). David Montgomery is listed Out (groin); Michael Wilson is listed Questionable (ribs).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

David Montgomery 2025 Michael Wilson

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David Montgomery

RB23HOUOut

20

value, #60

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
9
Bye
8
David Montgomery weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
11.112.010.52.85.5no projection

Michael Wilson

WR24ARIQuestionable

25

value, #49

Pts/game
11.9
Games left
9
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
1.52.115.813.511.412.5

Where the values come from

Montgomery is the 23rd running back on the chart and 60th overall. His 10.5 a game is 2.2 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 20.

Wilson is the 24th receiver on the chart and 49th overall. His 11.9 a game is 2.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had David Montgomery at 11.1 in Week 3, 12.0 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 2.8 in Week 6 and 5.5 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, down 5.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6, 11.4 in Week 7 and 12.5 in Week 8, a median of 11.9 points a game, up 11.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

David Montgomery has scored 45.5 PPR points in 5 games, 9.1 a game, 1.4 a game less than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB27 with 166.9 PPR points in 17 games with DET, 9.8 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 28.9 points (RB7 that week), 60 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CIN: 4.4 points (RB48 that week), 10 rushing yards on 6 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 14 yards, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs IND: 6.8 points (RB36 that week), 33 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 4.3 points (RB49 that week), 24 rushing yards on 10 carries, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 1.1 points (RB68 that week), 11 rushing yards on 5 carries, 14 percent of snaps.

Michael Wilson has scored 81.9 PPR points in 7 games, 11.7 a game, level with the 11.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DEN: 10.6 points (WR26 that week), 11 rushing yards on 2 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 55 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, David Montgomery has averaged 10.4 carries for 28 yards and 1.4 targets and 1.4 catches for 10 yards a game on 46 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 28 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against TEN he had 5 carries and 0 targets on 14 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.4 targets and 5.3 catches for 54 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 13 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 7 games.

In Week 7 against DEN he had 2 carries and 8 targets on 90 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. David Montgomery has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Michael Wilson has 9 games with his bye in Week 14.

DAL, Wilson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.5 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for David Montgomery and Michael Wilson

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade David Montgomery for Michael Wilson?

    It is close to even: David Montgomery is 20 and Michael Wilson is 25 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, David Montgomery or Michael Wilson?

    Michael Wilson, 25 to 20. He rates 11.9 market points a game over 9 games left, against 10.5 over 9 for David Montgomery, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:26 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number