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Trade A.J. Brown for Michael Wilson? No, Brown is worth 14 more.

No on value. A.J. Brown is worth 39 rest of season and Michael Wilson 25, so giving up Brown costs 14. Brown rates 13.4 market points a game with 9 games left, Wilson 11.9 with 9. On usage, Brown has drawn 22 percent of NE targets; Wilson has drawn 24 percent of ARI targets. Brown is at MIA in Week 8 (3rd fewest points allowed to WRs); Wilson is at DAL in Week 8 (10th most points allowed to WRs). A.J. Brown is listed Questionable (ankle); Michael Wilson is listed Questionable (ribs).

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping A.J. Brown wins by 14.

A.J. Brown 3925 Michael Wilson

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A.J. Brown

WR19NEQuestionable

39

value, #40

Pts/game
13.4
Games left
9
Bye
11
A.J. Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
no projectionno projectionno projection3.315.513.4

Michael Wilson

WR24ARIQuestionable

25

value, #49

Pts/game
11.9
Games left
9
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
1.52.115.813.511.412.4

Where the values come from

Brown is the 19th receiver on the chart and 40th overall. His 13.4 a game is 4.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 39.

Wilson is the 24th receiver on the chart and 49th overall. His 11.9 a game is 2.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had A.J. Brown at 3.3 in Week 6, 15.5 in Week 7 and 13.4 in Week 8, a median of 13.4 points a game, up 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6, 11.4 in Week 7 and 12.5 in Week 8, a median of 11.9 points a game, up 11.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

A.J. Brown has scored 19.1 PPR points in 3 games, 6.4 a game, 7.0 a game less than the 13.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR11 with 220.3 PPR points in 15 games with PHI, 14.7 a game.

Week 1 vs SEA: 5.6 points (WR66 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 26 yards, 44 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NYJ: 5.7 points (WR59 that week), 3 of 10 targets for 27 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs CHI: 7.8 points (WR35 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 48 yards, 91 percent of snaps.

Michael Wilson has scored 81.9 PPR points in 7 games, 11.7 a game, level with the 11.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DEN: 10.6 points (WR26 that week), 11 rushing yards on 2 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 55 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown has averaged 6.7 targets and 3.0 catches for 34 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 3 games.

In Week 7 against CHI he had 6 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.4 targets and 5.3 catches for 54 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 13 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 7 games.

In Week 7 against DEN he had 2 carries and 8 targets on 90 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. A.J. Brown has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Michael Wilson has 9 games with his bye in Week 14.

MIA, Brown's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 23.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest to WRs of 32.

DAL, Wilson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.5 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Michael Wilson would want about 14 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 14. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for A.J. Brown and Michael Wilson

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade A.J. Brown for Michael Wilson?

    No on value: A.J. Brown is worth 39 and Michael Wilson 25, a loss of 14. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, A.J. Brown or Michael Wilson?

    A.J. Brown, 39 to 25. He rates 13.4 market points a game over 9 games left, against 11.9 over 9 for Michael Wilson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 12:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number