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Trade Denzel Boston for Josh Downs? Yes, Downs is worth 12 more.

Yes on value. Josh Downs is worth 25 rest of season and Denzel Boston 13, so the side getting Downs gains 12. Boston rates 10.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Downs 11.7 with 10. On usage, Boston has drawn 20 percent of CLE targets; Downs has drawn 21 percent of IND targets. Boston is at TEN in Week 7 (9th most points allowed to WRs); Downs is at MIN in Week 7 (5th fewest points allowed to WRs). Denzel Boston is listed Questionable (foot).

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Josh Downs wins by 12.

Denzel Boston 1325 Josh Downs

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Denzel Boston

WR29CLEQuestionable

13

value, #67

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
10
Bye
11
Denzel Boston weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
10.58.110.511.310.6

Josh Downs

WR23IND

25

value, #52

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.414.212.511.71.3

Where the values come from

Boston is the 29th receiver on the chart and 67th overall. His 10.5 a game is 1.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 13.

Downs is the 23rd receiver on the chart and 52nd overall. His 11.7 a game is 2.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Denzel Boston at 10.5 in Week 3, 8.1 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 11.3 in Week 6 and 10.6 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4, 12.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 1.3 in Week 7, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Denzel Boston has scored 71.5 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.4 a game more than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Week 1 vs JAX: 13.9 points (WR24 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TB: 20.5 points (WR12 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CAR: 8.1 points (WR52 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 41 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs PIT: 12.9 points (WR30 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 89 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NYJ: 13.6 points (WR22 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 46 yards, 1 touchdown, 91 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs BAL: 2.5 points (WR84 that week), 1 of 5 targets for 15 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Josh Downs has scored 53.6 PPR points in 6 games, 8.9 a game, 2.8 a game less than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 points (WR41 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Denzel Boston has averaged 5.7 targets and 2.8 catches for 58 yards a game on 92 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 12 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against BAL he had 5 targets on 94 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.0 catches for 48 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 6 games.

In Week 6 against TEN he had 1 carry and 8 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Denzel Boston has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Josh Downs has 10 games with his bye in Week 13.

TEN, Boston's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 35.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

MIN, Downs's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 27.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Denzel Boston would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Devaughn Vele, valued at 12. Two players for Downs also costs that side a roster spot.

Devaughn Vele's player page

Other trades for Denzel Boston and Josh Downs

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Denzel Boston for Josh Downs?

    Yes on value: Josh Downs is worth 25 and Denzel Boston 13, a gain of 12. If Denzel Boston starts for you and Josh Downs would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Denzel Boston or Josh Downs?

    Josh Downs, 25 to 13. He rates 11.7 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.5 over 10 for Denzel Boston, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number