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Trade Derrick Henry for Josh Allen? No, Henry is worth 26 more.

No on value. Derrick Henry is worth 100 rest of season and Josh Allen 74, so giving up Henry costs 26. Henry rates 17.0 market points a game with 11 games left, Allen 23.2 with 11. On usage, Henry has 72 percent of BAL carries and 7 percent of its targets; Allen has thrown 27.6 passes and run 7.6 times a game. Henry is at CLE in Week 6 (6th fewest points allowed to RBs); Allen is at LV in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 6

Keeping Derrick Henry wins by 26.

Derrick Henry 10074 Josh Allen

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Derrick Henry

RB6BAL

100

value, #10

Pts/game
17.0
Games left
11
Bye
13
Derrick Henry weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6
18.418.615.615.2

Josh Allen

QB1BUF

74

value, #25

Pts/game
23.2
Games left
11
Bye
7
Josh Allen weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6
23.522.822.824.0

Where the values come from

Henry is the 6th running back on the chart and 10th overall. His 17.0 a game is 9.1 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 100.

Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 25th overall. His 23.2 a game is 6.7 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 74.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Derrick Henry at 18.4 in Week 3, 18.6 in Week 4, 15.6 in Week 5 and 15.2 in Week 6, a median of 17.0 points a game, down 3.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4, 22.8 in Week 5 and 24.0 in Week 6, a median of 23.2 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

Derrick Henry has scored 111.8 PPR points in 5 games, 22.4 a game, 5.4 a game more than the 17.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB8 with 279.5 PPR points in 17 games, 16.4 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 35.3 points (RB1 that week), 144 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 1 target for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 54 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NO: 17.7 points (RB6 that week), 68 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 21.9 points (RB4 that week), 89 rushing yards on 26 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 15.9 points (RB21 that week), 73 rushing yards on 23 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 21.0 points (RB5 that week), 102 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 55 percent of snaps.

Josh Allen has scored 147.0 PPR points in 5 games, 29.4 a game, 6.2 a game more than the 23.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 31.5 points (QB3 that week), 210 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 121 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, Derrick Henry has averaged 22.6 carries for 95 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.6 catches for 12 yards a game on 58 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 29 times inside the 20, 55 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 8 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against ATL he had 24 carries and 2 targets on 55 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 5, Josh Allen has averaged 27.6 attempts, 250 passing yards and 1.4 touchdown passes a game, with 7.6 runs for 49 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 5 against LAR he went 12 of 19 for 210 yards and 1 touchdown.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Derrick Henry has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Josh Allen has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.

CLE, Henry's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.6 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 6th fewest to RBs of 32.

LV, Allen's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 21.8 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Josh Allen would want about 26 more added to make it even: a player like DJ Moore, valued at 28. Two players for Henry also costs that side a roster spot.

DJ Moore's player page

Other trades for Derrick Henry and Josh Allen

The full Week 6 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Derrick Henry for Josh Allen?

    No on value: Derrick Henry is worth 100 and Josh Allen 74, a loss of 26. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Henry.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Derrick Henry or Josh Allen?

    Derrick Henry, 100 to 74. He rates 17.0 market points a game over 11 games left, against 23.2 over 11 for Josh Allen, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 14, 2026 at 9:26 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number