Skip to main content

Trade DeVonta Smith for Matthew Golden? No, Smith is worth 14 more.

No on value. DeVonta Smith is worth 47 rest of season and Matthew Golden 33, so giving up Smith costs 14. Smith rates 14.3 market points a game with 9 games left, Golden 12.8 with 9. On usage, Smith has drawn 33 percent of PHI targets; Golden has drawn 26 percent of GB targets. Smith is at WAS in Week 8 (6th most points allowed to WRs); Golden hosts CAR in Week 8 (6th fewest points allowed to WRs). DeVonta Smith is listed Questionable (hamstring); Matthew Golden is listed Questionable (shoulder).

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping DeVonta Smith wins by 14.

DeVonta Smith 4733 Matthew Golden

Advertisement

Run this trade in the analyzer

Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.

In a dynasty league? Run it in the dynasty trade calculator.

See it against your lineup

Sync your league and the analyzer shows your best starting lineup before and after the deal. Free, no account.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

WR14PHIQuestionable

47

value, #32

Pts/game
14.3
Games left
9
Bye
10
DeVonta Smith weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.314.32.1no projection15.72.1

WR21GBQuestionable

33

value, #44

Pts/game
12.8
Games left
9
Bye
11
Matthew Golden weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
12.312.612.314.015.713.1

Where the values come from

Smith is the 14th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 14.3 a game is 5.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 47.

Golden is the 21st receiver on the chart and 44th overall. His 12.8 a game is 3.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 33.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had DeVonta Smith at 15.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4, 2.1 in Week 5, 15.7 in Week 7 and 2.1 in Week 8, a median of 14.3 points a game, down 13.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Matthew Golden at 12.3 in Week 3, 12.6 in Week 4, 12.3 in Week 5, 14.0 in Week 6, 15.7 in Week 7 and 13.1 in Week 8, a median of 12.8 points a game, up 0.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Advertisement

Points so far against the price

DeVonta Smith has scored 69.0 PPR points in 4 games, 17.3 a game, 2.9 a game more than the 14.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR20 with 201.8 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 8.3 points (WR46 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 12.5 points (WR32 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs CAR: 20.5 points (WR8 that week), 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Matthew Golden has scored 110.6 PPR points in 7 games, 15.8 a game, 3.0 a game more than the 12.8 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR89 with 70.0 PPR points in 14 games, 5.0 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 15.5 points (WR17 that week), 6 of 12 targets for 95 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 9.8 points (WR35 that week), 4 of 6 targets for 58 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 21.0 points (WR7 that week), 5 of 12 targets for 100 yards, 1 touchdown, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 11.7 points (WR37 that week), 6 rushing yards on 1 carry, 3 of 7 targets for 21 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 20.3 points (WR11 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 123 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DAL: 22.4 points (WR5 that week), 6 of 13 targets for 104 yards, 1 touchdown, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DET: 9.9 points (WR27 that week), 6 of 12 targets for 39 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has averaged 10.3 targets and 6-7 catches for 78 yards a game on 86 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 6 against CAR he had 14 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Matthew Golden has averaged 9.9 targets and 5.1 catches for 77 yards a game on 84 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 13 times inside the 20, 18 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against DET he had 12 targets on 85 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. DeVonta Smith has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Matthew Golden has 9 games with his bye in Week 11.

WAS, Smith's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most to WRs of 32.

CAR, Golden's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 27.7 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Matthew Golden would want about 14 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 14. Two players for Smith also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade DeVonta Smith for Matthew Golden?

    No on value: DeVonta Smith is worth 47 and Matthew Golden 33, a loss of 14. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Smith.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DeVonta Smith or Matthew Golden?

    DeVonta Smith, 47 to 33. He rates 14.3 market points a game over 9 games left, against 12.8 over 9 for Matthew Golden, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 3:01 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number