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Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for DeVonta Smith? No, Jones is worth 11 more.

No on value. Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 58 rest of season and DeVonta Smith 47, so giving up Jones costs 11. Jones rates 14.1 market points a game with 10 games left, Smith 14.3 with 9. On usage, Jones has 30 percent of MIN carries and 4 percent of its targets; Smith has drawn 33 percent of PHI targets. Jones is at DET in Week 8 (10th fewest points allowed to RBs); Smith is at WAS in Week 8 (6th most points allowed to WRs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (undisclosed); DeVonta Smith is listed Questionable (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping Aaron Jones Sr. wins by 11.

Aaron Jones Sr. 5847 DeVonta Smith

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Aaron Jones Sr.

RB15MINQuestionable

58

value, #26

Pts/game
14.1
Games left
10
Bye
6
Aaron Jones Sr. weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
14.117.416.5no projection11.63.5

DeVonta Smith

WR14PHIQuestionable

47

value, #32

Pts/game
14.3
Games left
9
Bye
10
DeVonta Smith weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.314.32.1no projection15.72.1

Where the values come from

Jones is the 15th running back on the chart and 26th overall. His 14.1 a game is 5.8 above the replacement running back's 8.3, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 58.

Smith is the 14th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 14.3 a game is 5.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 47.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4, 16.5 in Week 5, 11.6 in Week 7 and 3.6 in Week 8, a median of 14.1 points a game, down 10.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had DeVonta Smith at 15.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4, 2.1 in Week 5, 15.7 in Week 7 and 2.1 in Week 8, a median of 14.3 points a game, down 13.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 73.8 PPR points in 6 games, 12.3 a game, 1.8 a game less than the 14.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries.

Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards.

Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB7 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.

Week 7 vs IND: 3.6 points (RB55 that week), 26 rushing yards on 8 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 25 percent of snaps.

DeVonta Smith has scored 69.0 PPR points in 4 games, 17.3 a game, 2.9 a game more than the 14.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR20 with 201.8 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 8.3 points (WR46 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 12.5 points (WR32 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs CAR: 20.5 points (WR8 that week), 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 8.0 carries for 26 yards and 1.0 targets and 1.0 catches for 0 yards a game on 25 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 20 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 1 game.

In Week 7 against IND he had 8 carries and 1 target on 25 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has averaged 10.3 targets and 6-7 catches for 78 yards a game on 86 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 6 against CAR he had 14 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 10 games in it with no bye left; DeVonta Smith has 9 games with his bye in Week 10.

DET, Jones's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 19.8 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest to RBs of 32.

WAS, Smith's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting DeVonta Smith would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Isaiah Likely, valued at 10. Two players for Jones also costs that side a roster spot.

Isaiah Likely's player page

Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and DeVonta Smith

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for DeVonta Smith?

    No on value: Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 58 and DeVonta Smith 47, a loss of 11. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jones.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or DeVonta Smith?

    Aaron Jones Sr., 58 to 47. He rates 14.1 market points a game over 10 games left, against 14.3 over 9 for DeVonta Smith, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number