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Trade DeVonta Smith for Justin Jefferson? Yes, Jefferson is worth 16 more.

Yes on value. Justin Jefferson is worth 63 rest of season and DeVonta Smith 47, so the side getting Jefferson gains 16. Smith rates 14.3 market points a game with 9 games left, Jefferson 15.4 with 10. On usage, Smith has drawn 33 percent of PHI targets; Jefferson has drawn 26 percent of MIN targets. Smith is at WAS in Week 8 (6th most points allowed to WRs); Jefferson is at DET in Week 8 (3rd most points allowed to WRs). DeVonta Smith is listed Questionable (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 8

Getting Justin Jefferson wins by 16.

DeVonta Smith 4763 Justin Jefferson

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DeVonta Smith

WR14PHIQuestionable

47

value, #32

Pts/game
14.3
Games left
9
Bye
10
DeVonta Smith weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.314.32.1no projection15.72.1

Justin Jefferson

WR8MIN

63

value, #24

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
10
Bye
6
Justin Jefferson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
15.43.22.8no projection15.615.8

Where the values come from

Smith is the 14th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 14.3 a game is 5.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 47.

Jefferson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 24th overall. His 15.4 a game is 6.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 63.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had DeVonta Smith at 15.3 in Week 3, 14.3 in Week 4, 2.1 in Week 5, 15.7 in Week 7 and 2.1 in Week 8, a median of 14.3 points a game, down 13.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Justin Jefferson at 15.4 in Week 3, 3.2 in Week 4, 2.8 in Week 5, 15.6 in Week 7 and 15.8 in Week 8, a median of 15.4 points a game, flat across them.

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Points so far against the price

DeVonta Smith has scored 69.0 PPR points in 4 games, 17.3 a game, 2.9 a game more than the 14.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR20 with 201.8 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 8.3 points (WR46 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 53 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 12.5 points (WR32 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs CAR: 20.5 points (WR8 that week), 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.

Justin Jefferson has scored 72.1 PPR points in 5 games, 14.4 a game, 1.0 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR21 with 201.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 31.2 points (WR3 that week), 8 of 9 targets for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 8.5 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 55 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 5.2 points (WR73 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 32 yards, 12 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.8 points (WR14 that week), -11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs IND: 8.4 points (WR32 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 44 yards, 93 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has averaged 10.3 targets and 6-7 catches for 78 yards a game on 86 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 6 against CAR he had 14 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Justin Jefferson has averaged 6.2 targets and 4.6 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 7 against IND he had 7 targets on 93 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. DeVonta Smith has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Justin Jefferson has 10 games with no bye left.

WAS, Smith's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most to WRs of 32.

DET, Jefferson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 39.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting DeVonta Smith would want about 16 more added to make it even: a player like Caleb Williams, valued at 16. Two players for Jefferson also costs that side a roster spot.

Caleb Williams's player page

Other trades for DeVonta Smith and Justin Jefferson

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade DeVonta Smith for Justin Jefferson?

    Yes on value: Justin Jefferson is worth 63 and DeVonta Smith 47, a gain of 16. If DeVonta Smith starts for you and Justin Jefferson would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DeVonta Smith or Justin Jefferson?

    Justin Jefferson, 63 to 47. He rates 15.4 market points a game over 10 games left, against 14.3 over 9 for DeVonta Smith, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number