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Trade DJ Moore for Josh Downs? Close to even, 18 to 25.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value DJ Moore is 18 and Josh Downs is 25, a 7 point edge to Downs that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Moore rates 11.0 market points a game with 10 games left, Downs 11.7 with 10. On usage, Moore has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets; Downs has drawn 21 percent of IND targets. Moore is on bye in Week 7; Downs is at MIN in Week 7 (5th fewest points allowed to WRs). DJ Moore is listed Out (shoulder - ac joint).

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

DJ Moore 1825 Josh Downs

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DJ Moore

WR26BUFOut

18

value, #59

Pts/game
11.0
Games left
10
Bye
7
DJ Moore weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.111.42.510.9no projection

Josh Downs

WR23IND

25

value, #52

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.414.212.511.71.3

Where the values come from

Moore is the 26th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.0 a game is 1.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 18.

Downs is the 23rd receiver on the chart and 52nd overall. His 11.7 a game is 2.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had DJ Moore at 11.1 in Week 3, 11.4 in Week 4, 2.5 in Week 5 and 10.9 in Week 6, a median of 11.0 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4, 12.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 1.3 in Week 7, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

DJ Moore has scored 36.3 PPR points in 4 games, 9.1 a game, 1.9 a game less than the 11.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR35 with 170.2 PPR points in 17 games with CHI, 10.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 21.0 points (WR9 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 100 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: -0.1 points (WR119 that week), -1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 0 of 0 targets for 0 yards, 31 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 12.7 points (WR31 that week), 6 of 10 targets for 67 yards, 64 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 2.7 points (WR87 that week), 6 rushing yards on 1 carry, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 39 percent of snaps.

Josh Downs has scored 53.6 PPR points in 6 games, 8.9 a game, 2.8 a game less than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 points (WR41 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, DJ Moore has averaged 0-1 carries for 1 yard and 5.0 targets and 3.0 catches for 45 yards a game on 51 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NE he had 1 carry and 2 targets on 39 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.0 catches for 48 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 6 games.

In Week 6 against TEN he had 1 carry and 8 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. DJ Moore has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 7; Josh Downs has 10 games with his bye in Week 13.

MIN, Downs's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 27.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest to WRs of 32.

Other trades for DJ Moore and Josh Downs

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade DJ Moore for Josh Downs?

    It is close to even: DJ Moore is 18 and Josh Downs is 25 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DJ Moore or Josh Downs?

    Josh Downs, 25 to 18. He rates 11.7 market points a game over 10 games left, against 11.0 over 10 for DJ Moore, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number