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Trade DJ Moore for Michael Wilson? Close to even, 20 to 25.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value DJ Moore is 20 and Michael Wilson is 25, a 5 point edge to Wilson that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Moore rates 11.1 market points a game with 10 games left, Wilson 11.9 with 9. On usage, Moore has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets; Wilson has drawn 24 percent of ARI targets. Moore hosts BAL in Week 8 (7th most points allowed to WRs); Wilson is at DAL in Week 8 (10th most points allowed to WRs). DJ Moore is listed Questionable (shoulder - ac joint); Michael Wilson is listed Questionable (ribs).

The verdict, Week 8

Close to even.

DJ Moore 2025 Michael Wilson

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WR28BUFQuestionable

20

value, #59

Pts/game
11.1
Games left
10
Bye
7
DJ Moore weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
11.111.42.510.9no projection12.3

WR24ARIQuestionable

25

value, #49

Pts/game
11.9
Games left
9
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
1.52.115.813.511.412.5

Where the values come from

Moore is the 28th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.1 a game is 2.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 20.

Wilson is the 24th receiver on the chart and 49th overall. His 11.9 a game is 2.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had DJ Moore at 11.1 in Week 3, 11.4 in Week 4, 2.5 in Week 5, 10.9 in Week 6 and 12.3 in Week 8, a median of 11.1 points a game, up 1.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6, 11.4 in Week 7 and 12.5 in Week 8, a median of 11.9 points a game, up 11.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

DJ Moore has scored 36.3 PPR points in 4 games, 9.1 a game, 2.0 a game less than the 11.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR35 with 170.2 PPR points in 17 games with CHI, 10.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 21.0 points (WR9 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 100 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: -0.1 points (WR119 that week), -1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 0 of 0 targets for 0 yards, 31 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 12.7 points (WR31 that week), 6 of 10 targets for 67 yards, 64 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 2.7 points (WR87 that week), 6 rushing yards on 1 carry, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 39 percent of snaps.

Michael Wilson has scored 81.9 PPR points in 7 games, 11.7 a game, level with the 11.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs DEN: 10.6 points (WR26 that week), 11 rushing yards on 2 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 55 yards, 90 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, DJ Moore has averaged 0-1 carries for 1 yard and 5.0 targets and 3.0 catches for 45 yards a game on 51 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NE he had 1 carry and 2 targets on 39 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 7, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.4 targets and 5.3 catches for 54 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 13 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 7 games.

In Week 7 against DEN he had 2 carries and 8 targets on 90 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. DJ Moore has 10 games in it with no bye left; Michael Wilson has 9 games with his bye in Week 14.

BAL, Moore's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.8 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 7th most to WRs of 32.

DAL, Wilson's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 35.5 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade DJ Moore for Michael Wilson?

    It is close to even: DJ Moore is 20 and Michael Wilson is 25 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DJ Moore or Michael Wilson?

    Michael Wilson, 25 to 20. He rates 11.9 market points a game over 9 games left, against 11.1 over 10 for DJ Moore, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 2:51 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number