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Trade Drake Maye for Josh Downs? Yes, Downs is worth 9 more.

Yes on value. Josh Downs is worth 25 rest of season and Drake Maye 16, so the side getting Downs gains 9. Maye rates 18.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Downs 11.7 with 10. On usage, Maye has thrown 30.5 passes and run 4.3 times a game; Downs has drawn 21 percent of IND targets. Maye is at CHI in Week 7 (15th most points allowed to QBs); Downs is at MIN in Week 7 (5th fewest points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Josh Downs wins by 9.

Drake Maye 1625 Josh Downs

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Drake Maye

QB3NE

16

value, #64

Pts/game
18.5
Games left
10
Bye
11
Drake Maye weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
17.717.818.519.319.5

Josh Downs

WR23IND

25

value, #52

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.414.212.511.71.3

Where the values come from

Maye is the 3rd quarterback on the chart and 64th overall. His 18.5 a game is 1.6 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 16.

Downs is the 23rd receiver on the chart and 52nd overall. His 11.7 a game is 2.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 25.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Drake Maye at 17.7 in Week 3, 17.8 in Week 4, 18.5 in Week 5, 19.3 in Week 6 and 19.5 in Week 7, a median of 18.5 points a game, up 1.8 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4, 12.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 1.3 in Week 7, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Drake Maye has scored 118.0 PPR points in 6 games, 19.7 a game, 1.2 a game more than the 18.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB2 with 360.0 PPR points in 17 games, 21.2 a game.

Week 1 vs SEA: 12.8 points (QB23 that week), 178 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 47 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs PIT: 9.0 points (QB25 that week), 208 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 17 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs JAX: 5.8 points (QB32 that week), 199 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 18 rushing yards, 81 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs BUF: 27.2 points (QB1 that week), 269 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 54 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LV: 39.5 points (QB1 that week), 374 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 25 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NYJ: 23.8 points (QB4 that week), 235 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 24 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Josh Downs has scored 53.6 PPR points in 6 games, 8.9 a game, 2.8 a game less than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 points (WR41 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Drake Maye has averaged 30-31 attempts, 244 passing yards and 1.8 touchdown passes a game, with 4.3 runs for 33 yards on 97 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against NYJ he went 18 of 32 for 235 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.0 catches for 48 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 6 games.

In Week 6 against TEN he had 1 carry and 8 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Drake Maye has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Josh Downs has 10 games with his bye in Week 13.

CHI, Maye's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 18.5 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 15th most to QBs of 32.

MIN, Downs's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 27.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Drake Maye would want about 9 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Downs also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Drake Maye and Josh Downs

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Drake Maye for Josh Downs?

    Yes on value: Josh Downs is worth 25 and Drake Maye 16, a gain of 9. If Drake Maye starts for you and Josh Downs would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Drake Maye or Josh Downs?

    Josh Downs, 25 to 16. He rates 11.7 market points a game over 10 games left, against 18.5 over 10 for Drake Maye, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number