Trade Garrett Wilson for Josh Allen? No, Wilson is worth 10 more.
No on value. Garrett Wilson is worth 79 rest of season and Josh Allen 69, so giving up Wilson costs 10. Wilson rates 16.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Allen 22.8 with 11. On usage, Wilson has drawn 28 percent of NYJ targets; Allen has thrown 29.8 passes and run 7.0 times a game. Wilson is at NE in Week 6 (13th most points allowed to WRs); Allen is at LV in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Garrett Wilson wins by 10.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 16.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 13
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7 | 16.7 | 16.3 |
- Pts/game
- 22.8
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 7
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5 | 22.8 | 22.8 |
Where the values come from
Wilson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 22nd overall. His 16.3 a game is 7.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 79.
Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 27th overall. His 22.8 a game is 6.3 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 69.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Garrett Wilson at 14.7 in Week 3, 16.7 in Week 4 and 16.3 in Week 5, a median of 16.3 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4 and 22.8 in Week 5, a median of 22.8 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Garrett Wilson has scored 86.4 PPR points in 5 games, 17.3 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 16.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR62 with 99.5 PPR points in 7 games, 14.2 a game.
Week 1 vs TEN: 13.9 points (WR23 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 75 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs GB: 16.7 points (WR14 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs DET: 26.7 points (WR3 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 107 yards, 1 touchdown, 94 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CHI: 5.7 points (WR70 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs CLE: 23.4 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.
Josh Allen has scored 115.5 PPR points in 4 games, 28.9 a game, 6.1 a game more than the 22.8 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.
Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Garrett Wilson has averaged 7.8 targets and 6.0 catches for 68 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 4 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against CHI he had 4 targets on 100 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Josh Allen has averaged 29.8 attempts, 260 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 7.0 runs for 31 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.
In Week 4 against NE he went 23 of 33 for 253 yards and 1 touchdown.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Garrett Wilson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Josh Allen has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.
NE, Wilson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 34.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 13th most to WRs of 32.
LV, Allen's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to QBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Josh Allen would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Wilson also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Garrett Wilson and Josh Allen
Garrett Wilson for Jaylen Warren79 vs 102
CeeDee Lamb for Garrett Wilson100 vs 79
Chuba Hubbard for Garrett Wilson96 vs 79
Aaron Jones Sr. for Garrett Wilson95 vs 79
Ashton Jeanty for Garrett Wilson95 vs 79- Chuba Hubbard for Josh Allen96 vs 69
- Aaron Jones Sr. for Josh Allen95 vs 69
- Ashton Jeanty for Josh Allen95 vs 69
Chase Brown for Josh Allen90 vs 69
Chris Olave for Josh Allen90 vs 69
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Garrett Wilson for Josh Allen?
No on value: Garrett Wilson is worth 79 and Josh Allen 69, a loss of 10. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Wilson.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Garrett Wilson or Josh Allen?
Garrett Wilson, 79 to 69. He rates 16.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 22.8 over 11 for Josh Allen, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number